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<h1 data-aos="fade-down" id="daily-dose">Daily-Dose</h1>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" data-aos-anchor-placement="top-bottom" id="contents">Contents</h1>
<ul>
<li><a href="#from-new-yorker">From New Yorker</a></li>
<li><a href="#from-vox">From Vox</a></li>
<li><a href="#from-the-hindu-sports">From The Hindu: Sports</a></li>
<li><a href="#from-the-hindu-national-news">From The Hindu: National News</a></li>
<li><a href="#from-bbc-europe">From BBC: Europe</a></li>
<li><a href="#from-ars-technica">From Ars Technica</a></li>
<li><a href="#from-jokes-subreddit">From Jokes Subreddit</a></li>
</ul>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-new-yorker">From New Yorker</h1>
<ul>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>A High-Stakes Election in the Midwests “Democracy Desert”</strong> - The race for control of Wisconsins Supreme Court could change the course of the entire country. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-political-scene/a-high-stakes-election-in-the-midwests-democracy-desert">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Has Benjamin Netanyahus Assault on Israeli Democracy Been Stopped?</strong> - In the face of mass protests, the Prime Minister has backed down from his plan to overhaul the judiciary—for now. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/has-benjamin-netanyahus-assault-on-israeli-democracy-been-stopped">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>The Horrifying Epidemic of Teen-Age Fentanyl Deaths in a Texas County</strong> - Students have overdosed during class, in bathrooms, and in an elementary-school parking lot. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-the-southwest/the-horrifying-epidemic-of-teen-age-fentanyl-deaths-in-a-texas-county">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Revisiting the Brock Turner Case</strong> - In the midst of the #MeToo movement, California voters recalled a judge for being lenient on sexual assault. As a new documentary argues, that recall campaign had unintended results. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/revisiting-the-brock-turner-case">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>If Alvin Bragg Indicts Donald Trump, What Will the Case Look Like?</strong> - The trial could hinge on the “catch and kill” practices at the National Enquirer. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/if-alvin-bragg-indicts-donald-trump-what-will-the-case-look-like">link</a></p></li>
</ul>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-vox">From Vox</h1>
<ul>
<li><strong>Refrigerators have gotten really freaking good. Thanks, Jimmy Carter.</strong> -
<figure>
<img alt="A vintage black-and-white photograph shows a woman looking at display model refrigerator." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2RHQqIRzPxfg1y1lKjLgfd4-wV0=/0x0:3495x2621/1310x983/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72126143/3239478.0.jpg"/>
<figcaption>
Refrigerators have gotten a lot better over the decades — without sacrificing their utility. | James W. Welgos/Welgos/Getty Images
</figcaption>
</figure>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
The underrated way energy efficiency has made life better, and climate progress possible.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Jdd6WY">
Consumer tech news tends to focus on the latest gadget like a new smartphone camera, but the boring old refrigerator ought to get its share of credit — when we werent looking, the fridge got really good.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="oGFjfm">
Since the 1970s, the standard fridge has grown in size, but uses a quarter of the energy of <a href="https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-proposes-new-standards-residential-appliances-save-americans-billions-annual-energy">those older models</a>. And youre getting more for less money, since the manufacturer price of the fridge has halved (adjusting for inflation) in those 50 years. Walk into a Home Depot or Lowes for a replacement, and you can trust that whatever you come out with could be bigger than what you had before, work better than expected, and still not raise your energy bill.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="zawTu9">
Its not just the refrigerator thats transformed. Clothes washers and dishwashers have also <a href="https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-proposes-new-standards-residential-appliances-save-americans-billions-annual-energy">become</a> more powerful while using less energy and water. LED lights use <a href="https://www.energy.gov/energysaver/led-lighting">75 percent</a> less energy and last 25 times longer than incandescent. And when US energy-related carbon emissions peaked in <a href="https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/carbon/">2007</a>, one overlooked factor for that peak was better efficiency.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="1phwAH">
All this progress is thanks, in part, to former President Jimmy Carter, who <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/feb/18/jimmy-carter-hospice-care-health">entered hospice</a> at age 98 in late February. While in office, he pioneered many of these gains in US efficiency.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="twU43K">
From 1977 to 1980, Carter proposed and signed a series of laws that raised the floor for efficiency in the home. One of the most pivotal included creating the <a href="https://www.energy.gov/lm/timeline-events-1971-1980">Department of Energy</a>, and setting up the <a href="https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/appliance-and-equipment-standards-program">appliance standards program</a> that exists today. They cover <a href="https://www.regulations.doe.gov/eecompass/appliance-standards">65 categories</a> that make up 90 percent of home energy usage, including washing, drying, lighting, refrigeration, heating, cooling, and cooking.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="qi2jGt">
Overall, Carter was “the first president to pass a law on energy efficiency standards that had teeth,” says <a href="https://jayhakes.com/about-the-author">Jay Hakes,</a> a former administrator of the Energy Information Administration and former director of the Jimmy Carter Presidential Library.
</p>
<figure class="e-image">
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/9iJeZxn1LT6Sct5mdSEpNkPLLrU=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24539678/Screen_Shot_2023_03_27_at_10.35.24_AM.png"/> <cite>Appliance Standards Awareness Project</cite>
<figcaption>
The size of refrigerators has grown (blue line), but they use less energy (red line), showing the power of energy efficiency.
</figcaption>
</figure>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vevl0s">
“The impacts were extraordinary,” Jeff Genzer, an attorney with Duncan, Weinberg, Genzer &amp; Pembroke who has served as counsel to the National Association of State Energy Officials since 1986. “Even though he was in office for only four years, what the advent of appliance standards produced in terms of [lower] energy costs for all consumers in the United States has to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="77UMM2">
The changes Carter made did more than just make products more efficient. They catalyzed a change in our perception of efficiency — which is still evolving today. The idea of efficiency gradually no longer meant coping with less, but about doing even <em>more</em> with less. Efficiency became a desired feature of the system, a way of improving peoples lives, while giving them more control of the energy system. We dont get much of a say in which power plant we use, but we do have a say in our appliances.
</p>
<h3 id="Jgt6iz">
Efficiency in Carters time was seen as a sacrifice
</h3>
<figure class="e-image">
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/cmyit_duRdcHQ8H44ccVH8jhSFs=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24542407/1371383262.jpg"/> <cite>Getty Images</cite>
<figcaption>
President Jimmy Carter speaking in front of solar panels placed on the West Wings roof, announcing his solar energy policy, in 1979.
</figcaption>
</figure>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vt6MVv">
How Americans thought of energy efficiency in the 1970s is, perhaps, best explained by a particular cardigan sweater.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="xoXydr">
In early 1977, the US was still reeling from an oil embargo, in which allied Arab nations blocked oil exports to the US in retaliation for its support for Israel in the <a href="https://history.state.gov/milestones/1969-1976/oil-embargo">1973 war</a>. The event coincided with gas prices quadrupling that caused a <a href="https://www.npr.org/2021/05/29/1001023637/think-inflation-is-bad-now-lets-take-a-step-back-to-the-1970s">period of stagflation</a>.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="z1dczS">
Carter in response tried to tap into what was left of a post-World War II ethos of political unity and sacrifice for the greater good, explained Hakes. He delivered a series of national speeches framing energy conservation as an unfortunate but necessary sacrifice. Wearing a cardigan in one, he asked Americans to put on their own sweater and lower their thermostats to save energy. He called it “energy conservation.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="UirHTD">
“Carter, because of that cardigan sweater, made a lot of people think they were going to be freezing in the dark, but thats not the case at all,” executive director of the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) Steven Nadel said.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="JAzlwr">
The unpleasantry of efficiency became a common theme in his speeches. In April 1977 he acknowledged his coming energy proposals would be unpopular because they “will cause you to put up with inconveniences and to make sacrifices.” Some of the proposals included new speed limits for cars (which are more efficient at lower speeds) and an oil profits windfall tax.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="GElE5V">
The parlance of the time was to talk about energy conservation, which was the language Carter used most in his speeches. A sign of its bad reputation was how politicians slowly phased out using the term “conservation” in favor of todays preferred vocabulary — efficiency.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="yCckX3">
It turns out that the policies that had the most lasting impact were not unpleasant at all. Mandatory standards raised the floor for efficiency, while the extra-efficient technologies get a voluntary Energy Star recognition.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="7oP9mm">
Appliance standards require very little sacrifice, even though they took years to finally take hold. The 1978 National Energy Conservation Policy Act enacted Carters vision by directing the Department of Energy to set new minimum floors for appliances that were economically and technologically feasible. Ronald Reagan <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1981/02/19/business/us-to-ease-some-energy-saving-rules.html">reversed</a> the eight major rules from Carter before they could take effect.<strong> </strong>But, ultimately, Reagan faced <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1986/11/05/energy-standard-veto-no-one-won-groups-say/c165ba7f-8971-4475-a279-c07b301496b1/">an appeals court reversal</a> forcing him to issue his own standards, which led to a congressional amendment in 1987. The court order found Reagans inaction illegal because of the earlier Carter law enacted, explained Nadel.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="toRIpA">
The estimates of how much consumers have saved as a result vary, but are massive by any metric. In 2015, the Department of Energy <a href="https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/appliance-and-equipment-standards-program">estimated</a> that it saved households $63 billion in utility bills for that year. Over the decades, though, the benefits have probably accrued to <a href="https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/articles/appliance-and-equipment-standards-fact-sheet">$1 trillion</a>.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="TyDRxy">
Carter may be better remembered today for installing solar panels on the White House than his efficiency programs. But his impacts were more pervasive, if hidden from view. “One of the things that the energy efficiency advocates bemoan is the fact that you can see a solar panel, a windmill, and a hydropower facility; you really cant see energy efficiency,” Genzer said.
</p>
<h3 id="QOVRNF">
How efficiency was rebranded to mean higher quality of living
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Xjw1qk">
To be fair, Carter didnt only frame conservation as sacrifice. He also talked of opportunity. “In fact, it is the most painless and immediate way of rebuilding our nations strength,” he said in a landmark <a href="https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/carter-crisis/">1979 speech</a>. “Every gallon of oil each one of us saves is a new form of production. It gives us more freedom, more confidence, that much more control over our own lives.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vgS9am">
This rhetoric, unfortunately, was ahead of its time. Eventually, the US had new technology came along that made it easier to give consumers more options and control, but it was a limiting factor of the time.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ge2H8A">
Clean energy technology was too expensive and difficult to produce to be an easy substitute for fossil fuels. Fuel-switching, or being able to swap a coal plant for gas or renewables, wasnt a real possibility. So cutting down costs did have to involve some level of using <em>less. </em>
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="dso7bi">
The difference today is that the technology has caught up. Electric alternatives to fuel-burning products are relatively easy and low-cost. That includes induction stoves and electric heat pumps and water heaters. These arent just <a href="https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/23559852/gas-stove-myths-debunked">more efficient</a> than the gas stove and gas-burning furnace and boiler, but a lot of consumers prefer them because of performance (<a href="https://www.vox.com/22744866/tiktok-food-star-gas-stoves-induction">induction stovetops</a> do not get hot, and heat pump more evenly heats the home compared to gas).
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="OI3U4A">
Fossil fuel appliances have approached their limit to how efficient theyll become. The very best furnaces out there are 95 percent efficient, whether they run on gas, oil, or propane, meaning that about 5 percent of the fuel is wasted energy. Heat pumps, in ideal conditions, blow that away, delivering two or three times the heating energy compared to whats needed to run it. “The heat pump mainly takes the heat out of the air and just needs a little bit of energy to operate those compressors and equipment,” Nadel explained. “And thats why its so much more efficient.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="CdqA9R">
The better technology gives Biden the chance to sell his own climate program as an opportunity that will improve quality of life, while Carter framed his programs as one of sacrifice. In a speech last fall talking about the Inflation Reduction Act and its investments in efficiency upgrades, Biden promised youre “going to save a lot of money going forward because your utility bills will be lower. And thats good for your wallet, but its also good for the environment because youre using less energy.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="I3PcZQ">
Efficiency now is all about the opportunism. Its also more critical than ever to meeting climate change goals. As more buildings and cars switch from fossil fuels to electric power, efficiency will be equally important to make sure the grid is actually meeting the strain from rising demand.
</p>
<h3 id="8KQ40W">
The next big thing in efficiency is looking holistically at the building
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="PgKIAb">
Since the 1970s weve seen an important shift in energy efficiency. First, it was associated with “conservation” or the idea of sacrifice, then morphed into the benefits of saving on ones energy bill and better technology. Were shifting into a new era of energy efficiency today, one that is even more ambitious than the iterative progress over refrigerators (which still have room to improve by phasing out <a href="https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/23373026/kigali-amendment-signed-biden-republican-hfc-climate-change-montreal">planet-warming hydrofluorocarbons</a>). Now, its all about remaking buildings.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="yAtpIh">
One main area households still have room to improve in energy conservation is their water heating. These are usually a households biggest utility expense, and new DOE standards would raise the bar for the lowest-performing appliances. All together, ACEEE counts standards for 47 appliances that are due for upgrades, including for water heating. These would save consumers and businesses a collective $41 billion by 2035. ACEEE estimated these updates also reduce carbon emissions at the equivalent of 13 to 25 coal plants by 2050.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="tfUIvM">
The Inflation Reduction Act also changes the field, because its the largest federal investment in recent history to improve energy efficiency. The main crux of the law provides incentives and tax breaks to households, businesses, and manufacturers to insulate and weatherize buildings, as well as install technologies like the heat pump.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="aiosAq">
The IRA also starts to address another important, overlooked aspect of efficiency: the building itself. Buildings, not just the products that fill them, can <a href="https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/23377638/buildings-indoor-air-quality-pollution-toxic-sick">make or break how much energy</a> a household uses. “If you have leaks in your home or if you have really inefficient windows, no matter how efficient your appliances are, youre still going to be using and wasting a lot of energy,” said Jamal Lewis, director of Policy Partnerships and Equitable Electrification at the advocacy group Rewiring America.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="D4piX4">
Bidens overall tone is about what we have to gain from efficiency, not lose. And the IRA makes a big bet on efficiency as a politically popular, win-win proposition. “Look, were talking about real money here, to save, people,” said Biden. “And its just going to start kicking in now.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vVoYTa">
Biden, like Carter, is using efficiency to help address similar economic challenges and an energy crunch stemming from events beyond US borders. The question is whether the public sees it the same way. The president can raise the bar and set an example. Ultimately, the challenge is not just learning to do more with less, but convincing people that this is a trait worth having in their next furnace, dryer, computer, or stove.
</p></li>
<li><strong>To make the present feel more meaningful, think beyond it</strong> -
<figure>
<img alt="A view of a paved highway, empty of cars, leading to mountains in the distance." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/SULPX-BK9y9wBU3K-RbT7BYZr08=/222x0:3778x2667/1310x983/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72126017/GettyImages_688925795.0.jpg"/>
<figcaption>
Getty Images/EyeEm
</figcaption>
</figure>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
Building a longtermism that works for the people of tomorrow — and the people of today.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="zrwNef">
What do you call someone whos not a longtermist? It might sound like the first half of a joke, but its a question that at first glance would seem to lack <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gXHy3xynpnA8uBcuK/i-doubt-neartermist-is-a-monicker-people-want-what-would-you">a satisfactory answer</a>.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ANBjxA">
The proponents of <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23298870/effective-altruism-longtermism-will-macaskill-future">longtermism</a> — an offshoot of effective altruism (EA) — make their case based on <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/09/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-will-macaskill.html">three premises</a>: future people matter, there could be a lot of them, and we can make their lives better or worse. This framing is all-encompassing, covering a lot of future, and it sets up what appears to be a dichotomy: if longtermism doesnt appeal to you, then you must be for present-day people and causes instead. That would make you a “neartermist,” right? (Or more pejoratively, a “short-termist” — unable or unwilling to look beyond the moment — but no one wants to be labeled that.)
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="CiWIKB">
Within EA, neartermism would describe those who work on causes like disease or poverty in the developing world or ending factory farming, rather than working on efforts to ensure unborn people exist and flourish, such as reducing existential risk, or speeding up technological progress. Outside EA, neartermism would mean showing concern for the big, salient problems of 2023: climate impacts, social inequality, and all the other aching injustices in the world. Not to mention problems in ones local community, like homelessness or pollution.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="TBwurx">
EA openly embraces the idea that some causes ought to be prioritized, based on factors like importance, neglectedness, and tractability. Building on those foundations, EA longtermists propose that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority of our time — and <a href="https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/hilary-greaves-william-macaskill-the-case-for-strong-longtermism-2/">in its strongest form</a>, it becomes <em>the</em> key moral priority. This apparently zero-sum framing — present needs versus future needs — may go some way to explain why <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23298870/effective-altruism-longtermism-will-macaskill-future">longtermism has attracted so much controversy</a> in recent months (aside from EAs other more recent scandals: <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23500014/effective-altruism-sam-bankman-fried-ftx-crypto">financial</a>, <a href="https://www.vice.com/en/article/z34dm3/prominent-ai-philosopher-and-father-of-longtermism-sent-very-racist-email-to-a-90s-philosophy-listserv">racial</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2023/2/15/23601143/effective-altruism-sexual-harassment-misconduct">sexual</a>). In the eyes of critics, longtermist philosophy would seem to prioritize the <a href="https://www.bostonreview.net/articles/the-new-moral-mathematics/">aggregate well-being of 100 trillion-plus hypothetical people</a> in the future over the actual living, breathing 8 billion people alive today.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="TtbB8f">
Longtermists counter that the weaker versions of the philosophy are far less demanding, and that a lot of their efforts and spending — on say, reducing existential risk — are good for today and<em> </em>the future. If the world ends, the very real people of the present would be the first to suffer. But taken to an extreme, some critics fear the population ethics underpinning longtermism could lead to a form of mathematical blackmail, a bullet-biting justification for present-day neglect. Worse, that it could lead to real harm through fanatical acts to reduce tiny probabilities of danger sometime in the deep future. In EA parlance, this would be “<a href="https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/ajeya-cotra-worldview-diversification/">taking the train all the way to crazy town</a>.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="pGPCWS">
But does caring about the long-term fate of humanity and the planet need to come at the expense of the present? Is choosing one or the other inevitable? I do not believe so.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="eZJKcW">
Over the past few years, Ive been writing <a href="https://www.hachette.co.uk/titles/richard-fisher/the-long-view/9781472285232/">a book called <em>The Long View</em></a>. Its about the benefits of extending ones mind into longer-term timescales; not the days, weeks, or months we usually dwell in, but decades, centuries, millennia. Along the way, Ive crossed paths with various “long-minded” individuals and organizations. Ive met longtermists, but also those whose timeview is rooted in other values and habits: artists, scientists, anthropologists, historians, writers, Indigenous thinkers and more. (Disclosure: Open Philanthropy provided two career-development grants that supported <em>The Long View</em>, paid directly to the books research assistant and international publicist.)
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Mwbuyf">
Often these long-minded approaches speak different languages, with different priorities and values: some are transcendental and rooted in faith; others are secular and empirical. Some span timescales of centuries; others run to millions of years, many times longer than humans have existed. Some focus purely on humanity; others encompass the natural world too.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Za8rNc">
Encountering all these different perspectives has shown me that taking the long view can and should be plural and democratic. And crucially, they demonstrate that extending ones circle of concern to tomorrows generations neednt mean prioritizing the future above all. If anything, Ive discovered that taking a longer view can often lend greater meaning <em>to</em> life in the present: offering perspective and hope amid crisis and difficulty, and a source of energy, autonomy, and guidance when its needed.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="x20UEV">
Over the course of writing the book, Ive learned that Im not a longtermist. But nor am I a neartermist either. So what are the alternatives?
</p>
<h3 id="AlDibm">
Building a generational partnership
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="WK1OZo">
I began to think in earnest about longer-term time just under a decade ago, following a reflection about my daughters future. Not long after Grace was born in 2013, I realized something that I had never considered: there are millions of citizens of the 22nd century already living among us. Theyre not time-travelers, of course. They are our children.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="4QjbkW">
My daughter, to my astonishment, stands a pretty good chance of reaching 2100. Shell be 86, just a <a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/lifeexpectancies/bulletins/nationallifetablesunitedkingdom/2018to2020">few years more than the average life expectancy for a woman born in the UK</a>. Her children, if she has them, could conceivably reach 2150 if future medicine allows. And, if the average lifespan rises and humanity doesnt destroy itself, perhaps her grandchildren or great-grandchildren could end up seeing New Years Day of the 23rd century.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="04lEkR">
The apparently distant future, I realized, is far nearer and dearer to my own life than I thought. So I better do what I can to ensure it goes well.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="YpEqPb">
This reflection about the long-term reach of my potential family ties, and my own ethical responsibilities, led me to the words of the 18th-century writer and politician Edmund Burke. In 1790, he <a href="https://www.google.co.uk/books/edition/Reflections_on_the_Revolution_in_France/TtUuAAAAMAAJ?hl=en&amp;gbpv=0">wrote that</a>:
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="lkElVU">
Society is indeed a contract … a partnership not only between those who are living, but between those who are living, those who are dead, and those who are to be born.
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</blockquote>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="VaqRgi">
This is an ethical view, centuries before effective altruism was even a notion, that acknowledges that future people matter: a sense of justice, equality, and beneficence toward tomorrows generations, built on the awareness of what our forebears did for us. You wouldnt, however, call it longtermist.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="gDUU9h">
Rather than a god-like population-ethics view — adding up the aggregate well-being of people across time within some utilitarian calculation, with the aim of engineering the most good — Burkes framing emphasizes a partnership, situated in relationships, kin, society, and the connections that link one generation to the next.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="QSwCw7">
This sentiment, that we hold a duty to posterity rooted in our generational ties, has come up time after time ever since. For example, in 1866, the British politician John Stuart Mill gave a <a href="https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/1866-04-17/debates/56e598d7-352b-4e07-9908-a22261c8b229/MaltDuty%E2%80%94Resolution">rousing speech to Parliament</a> about the world we inherit and the world we must leave behind: “It is lent to us, not given: and it is our duty to pass it on, not merely undiminished, but with interest.” In the 20th century, the economist John Maynard Keynes wrote about “<a href="http://www.econ.yale.edu/smith/econ116a/keynes1.pdf">economic possibilities for our grandchildren</a>,” hoping for a world of abundant prosperity and leisure time for, well… us (shame that didnt quite work out). And later, in 1992, the vaccine pioneer Jonas Salk framed our cross-generational obligations with a simple question: “<a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/45064193">Are we being good ancestors?</a>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ZYS3So">
A couple of years ago, the writer and researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner — who co-wrote parts of William MacAskills longtermist book <a href="https://bookshop.org/p/books/what-we-owe-the-future-william-macaskill/17831744?gclid=CjwKCAjwq-WgBhBMEiwAzKSH6DHOqNz94YHXHjB9KrqJl3RSeyK4OEHlPDzl6SMVEjfsPXBuTtIqZRoCsEoQAvD_BwE"><em>What We Owe The Future</em></a> — proposed that longtermism could do more to embrace this approach. “Most of all, I hope that more will take seriously the long arc of time,” he wrote. “Our civilization is an intergenerational enterprise.” He suggested this cross-generational view of ethics might be called “<a href="https://www.forourposterity.com/burkean-longtermism/">Burkean longtermism</a>.” But if anything, I would argue that longtermism is a modern variant of this long-held if oft-ignored moral principle — not the other way round.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="KmJWGH">
Burke himself was not the first to identify the values of stewardship and benevolence toward future generations. Such thinking has emerged within societies and cultures for millennia; perhaps most famously as the <a href="https://theseventhgeneration.org/blog-the-seventh-generation-principle/">Seventh Generation principle</a>, which is thought to go back to the centuries-old <a href="https://www.pbs.org/native-america/blogs/native-voices/how-the-iroquois-great-law-of-peace-shaped-us-democracy/">Great Law of the Iroquois Confederacy</a>. Its usually taken to mean making decisions that benefit the next seven generations, but for <a href="https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/mono/10.4324/9780203949573-23/american-indians-moral-community-vine-deloria-james-treat">some Native American scholars</a>, it could also be interpreted as respecting the span of seven generations from your great-grandfather to great-grandchild.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ekpwOM">
Another often-mentioned example is the Maori proverb <em>Ka mua, ka muri</em>, which translates as “walking backward into the future,” emphasizing how the learnings of past generations can provide a guide to whats ahead. Respect your ancestors, goes the wisdom, and they can help you in return.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="9Bee5Q">
But there are other non-Western ethical frameworks that deserve to be more widely known. The researcher Cecil Abungu and his team have been collecting examples of <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjOoV1qSiME">long-term thinking in Africa</a>, including Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana, South Africa, and Uganda. He wanted to dispel a myth in 20th-century Western philosophical literature that traditional African communities lacked a conception of the future. “Very many communities did have words to describe the long, long, long-term future, even without knowing that something would definitely happen,” he told me recently. “And lots of communities have proverbs essentially saying that you have to take into account those who will come after you tomorrow.”
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="a9H0R5">
The project is ongoing, but so far Abungu has identified various examples of spiritual and ethical codes oriented to the future, evidence of the deliberate preservation of artifacts for tomorrows generations, as well as principles of land and resource stewardship.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="LED5jO">
One particularly intriguing case study came from the history of the Meru people of Kenya. Every year, he explains, the young men in the group were encouraged to raid the cattle of a neighboring community. It was half-necessary, half-pastime, he said, and while it admittedly involved theft, it was underpinned by an ethical principle oriented toward future people: the men understood that, even as they raided, they should leave some cattle behind. Why? So that the following generation could go raiding too, earning the same status. “Its not a matter of survival, but more of a matter of flourishing, and living well,” Abungu said.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="e84FmV">
In other words, it was the belief that future people also deserve an opportunity to win praise from their peers and loved ones.
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<h3 id="Znbd57">
The politics and symbolism of time
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="6dIs1o">
Researching my book, Ive encountered various other communities, campaigners, and nascent movements who strongly believe that future people matter, but wouldnt describe themselves as either longtermist or neartermist. Id suggest a better term would simply be “long-minded.”<strong> </strong>Again, these approaches have roots that go back decades, and they sit outside the world of analytic philosophy.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="dVAjp5">
The ocean explorer Jacques Cousteau, for instance, campaigned back in the 1990s for <a href="https://www.cousteau.org/right-of-future-generations/">a Bill of Rights for future generations</a>, writing that future people “have a right to an uncontaminated and undamaged Earth and to its enjoyment as the ground of human history, of culture, and of the social bonds that make each generation and individual a member of one human family.” Citizens in the present day, he said, therefore have “a duty as trustee for future generations to prevent irreversible and irreparable harm to life on Earth and to human freedom and dignity.” One supporter, Pierre Chastan, was so inspired that <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20030203185351/http://www.cousteausociety.org/tcs_news_chastan_mission.html">he fashioned a boat out of wood</a> in France, and sailed it to the UN in New York to deliver a barrel of petitions — wearing a Cousteau-style red beanie hat for the trip.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="KLsfR7">
Such politically flavored intergenerational justice efforts manifest today as reports like the UNs 2021 <a href="https://www.un.org/en/content/common-agenda-report/">Our Common Agenda</a>, the appointment of a <a href="https://www.gov.wales/wales-new-future-generations-commissioner-announced">second future generations commissioner</a> in Wales last December, and recent <a href="https://bills.parliament.uk/bills/2869">discussion of a future generations bill</a> in the UK House of Lords. Meanwhile, political scientists like Simon Caney at the University of Warwick in the UK have been <a href="https://www.cusp.ac.uk/themes/m/m1-11/">exploring political reforms and policy proposals</a>, on both a national and <a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ethics-and-international-affairs/article/global-climate-governance-shorttermism-and-the-vulnerability-of-future-generations/AD7741479D09F57477F4366F0C0F196E">global level</a>, that would foster greater rights for future people.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="mhqoI3">
Then there are the symbolic long-minded approaches that have emerged in the <a href="https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190521-how-art-and-culture-can-help-us-rethink-time">world of art</a>. One example is the growing community of people around the Scottish artist Katie Patersons <a href="https://www.futurelibrary.no/">Future Library</a> in Oslo, Norway. In a forest north of the city, a grove of trees is growing — now about 4 feet tall — that will be used to print a special series of books written for future generations.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Z5VYSm">
Every year, an author is invited to write a story that wont be published until the year 2114. They are kept in a small space in Oslos central library called the Silent Room, which was designed to echo the rings of a tree. The first author was Margaret Atwood, who wrote a story called <em>Scribbler Moon</em>. And this May, the Vietnamese American writer and poet Ocean Vuong and German writer and book designer Judith Schalansky will hand over their manuscripts.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Cek7Y8">
To do this, the authors are invited to visit the forest for an annual ceremony. When <a href="https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220630-the-norwegian-library-with-unreadable-books">I attended the 2022 handover event</a>, with Zimbabwean author Tsitsi Dangarembga and the Norwegian writer Karl Ove Knausgaard, it was amid 200 to 300 Oslo citizens: people walking their dogs, parents carrying children on their shoulders. They were all participating in a ritual act that encouraged reflection on legacy, art, and what we leave behind.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vAtGyK">
On the surface, there would seem to be a present versus future trade-off with the Future Library: after all, no one can read the books unless they live until 2114, and almost certainly, that wont include any adult in attendance. But nobody I encountered in the Future Library community — writers, artists, local politicians, and members of the public — seemed to see this as a sacrifice. Rather, the project itself lends a sense of meaning. The act of spending that Sunday morning thinking beyond the salient distractions of the present, and doing so together, provided its own benefits.
</p>
<h3 id="gn71F8">
Temporal virtues
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="E0c5wh">
What might strict longtermists make of all this? Are such approaches and timeviews compatible with the longtermism project, allowing for <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23564571/effective-altruism-sam-bankman-fried-holden-karnofsky-ai">the pluralism and worldview diversification that some EA leaders have called for</a>, or are they entirely separate? Im a writer, not a philosopher or an EA, so thatd be for others to weigh in.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="S2oMiH">
However, I would be intrigued to see more exploration of what happens when longtermism meets virtue ethics. The long-held moral principle of the duty to posterity is underpinned by what you might call “temporal virtues” — of benevolence, conscientiousness, temperance, and humility for the sake of future people. How these virtues fit (or not) with longtermism is something Im not qualified to analyze, but I hope someone in that community, or an adjacent one, does.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="QX4kPA">
What I can speak to, however, is how the long view has shaped my own personal perspective on the world. Through writing my book, I realized something counterintuitive: that taking the long view allows one to become more <em>present-minded</em>, able to see with far clearer sight what truly matters, what needs to change, what is dangerous and harmful — and what is worth enjoying and appreciating. Reaching for a longer view has provided a source of guidance and solace during some of the best and worst moments in my life: bringing a daughter into the world, and eight years later, <a href="https://longviewer.substack.com/p/how-a-time-of-crisis-creates-a-crisis">losing a baby son</a>.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="afIjpy">
The long view has also provided me with a clarity of purpose in the present, through the call to leave a better world behind for the following generation. Some might interpret that this means building a grand legacy, planning a utopia, or seeking to steer the trajectory of tomorrow. However, I believe any long-minded approach ought to be tempered by humility, democracy, and pluralism. The future, after all, belongs to everyone, and we cant predict the needs and values of tomorrows generations any more than someone living a century ago could imagine all of ours today.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="2yac5k">
Instead, the greatest legacy we can seek to leave behind is <em>choice</em>. If we can ensure that people tomorrow have the ability and autonomy to decide their own path within a sustainable world, then that is enough. For me, that is what long-mindedness means — and it neednt involve making a choice between whether you care for the near term or the long term.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="G5vRPi">
<em>Richard Fisher is the author of </em><a href="https://www.hachette.co.uk/titles/richard-fisher/the-long-view/9781472285232/">The Long View</a><em> (Wildfire, March 30, 2023). He is an honorary research associate at University College London, and a writer for the website BBC Future. </em>
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</p></li>
<li><strong>What US weapons tell us about the Russia-Ukraine war</strong> -
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/PlfOQdIS1snGD_C1M3RBqHjD0jQ=/444x0:4000x2667/1310x983/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72125970/1248136564.0.jpg"/>
<figcaption>
Spanish personnel rest on a Leopard 2E tank during a training exercise for the Ukrainian military at a base outside Zaragoza on March 13, 2023.  | Paul Hanna/Bloomberg via Getty Images
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</figure>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
The debate around which weapons to send to Ukraine, explained.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Hd7MIx">
In January, all of Washington seemed rapt with the question of whether the US and Europe would send tanks to Ukraine.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="PBfIwl">
Should they? Would they? Why werent they? Was it too risky? But also, what was taking so long? Later that month, the US decided to send advanced Abrams tanks and Germany agreed to send Leopards, which cleared the way for other European allies to send military vehicles.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="LzPw07">
A similar dynamic had unfolded around <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/26/politics/us-long-range-rockets-ukraine-mlrs/index.html">HIMARS</a> missile defense systems that the US sent to Ukraine last year, and it mirrored the protracted debates over lethal aid long before that. Now, its playing out again, already, over <a href="https://www.vox.com/23188403/inside-ukraine-foreign-lobbying-blitz-washington-fara-justice">F-16 fighter jets</a>.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ghLAx9">
I have felt uneasy about these weapons debates. Its not just the <a href="https://kyivindependent.com/national/making-sense-of-ukrainian-memes-from-watermelons-to-saint-javelin">memes</a> of <a href="https://twitter.com/saintjavelin/status/1617565879209787392">Leopards</a> and <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/18/ukraine-war-meme-fundraising/">Javelin missiles</a>, or the <a href="https://www.vox.com/world/2022/12/16/23507640/dc-party-invite-military-contractors-money-ukraine-russia-war-us">intimacy between the US arms industry and Ukraine</a>. The debate around each new weapon has overshadowed the larger debate about the Ukraine war.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vAsyA4">
The constant shift, that once the Abrams decision was announced Washington moved on to talking about the next advanced system, irked me. Shouldnt experts, Congress, and the public argue over what the USs clearly defined interests are in Ukraine and how to achieve them — and how to make sure the war doesnt drag on and lead to unintended consequences — rather than cheerleading weapons transfers? It seemed to me that the US was going to be debating which weapons systems the US would send to Ukraine every month.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="LfdTev">
But Ive come to see the fact that there have been debates about each weapons system, with experts openly engaging in these questions in panels and policy papers, to be a good thing. Its not the only conversation that we should be having, but it serves as a proxy for a serious inquiry into what the US is doing in Ukraine. And, crucially, each tranche of weapons that the US has sent to Ukraine tells us a lot about the Biden administrations approach to the war at any given time.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="yxDfDk">
US President Joe Biden has committed $47 billion of military assistance to Ukraine, and the conversation is ongoing. More debate about arms may lead to more caution and deliberation.
</p>
<h3 id="phROpo">
What we talk about when we talk about weapons
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="KpCONL">
In early 2022, or even prior, most experts would tell you that they never would have imagined that the US would send Abrams tanks to Ukraine. Ditto the HIMARS missile defense system. And even the sheer volume of weapons sent to Ukraine exceeds all other US security assistance.
</p>
<figure class="e-image">
<img alt="Chart showing committed military aid to Ukraine. The US outpaces other countries with $46.6 billion." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/YjAXMMv7S4_UIIjN4pJEg18567Y=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24543748/ISfsS_the_west_especially_the_us_has_promised_ukraine_billions_in_military_aid.png"/>
</figure>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ppfQsn">
But the Biden administration, through an incrementalist approach, has so far charted a careful path. Its support for Ukraine has managed the escalation ladder to avoid nuclear conflict with Russia while keeping European allies largely united in support of Ukraine, ultimately trending toward just an incredible amount of advanced arms for the country. The public debates that have preceded these escalations arent just glimpses of that deliberate cautiousness — theyre integral to managing these risks.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="utBvbU">
The primary US interest in this conflict is averting nuclear use and avoiding a direct war between NATO and Russia. Yes, there are other goals: defending sovereignty and international law, as well as signaling to other competitors like China. But avoiding all-out war is an imperative and necessary precondition for that. The decisions to send Ukraine certain classes of weapons speak to this goal, and each decision tells us a lot about how the Biden administration sees the state of the war.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="6etV4s">
Take the recent decision to send tanks.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="wGlR1P">
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had been <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/26/world/europe/zelensky-renews-his-call-for-planes-and-tanks-from-nato.html">appealing</a> for tanks since the first months of Russian invasion. Initially, the idea seemed far-fetched and was thought to have dangerous knock-on effects, possibly leading Russian President Vladimir Putin to escalate <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/02/politics/fact-check-biden-world-war-iii/index.html">the war</a>. The US also had concerns that the Ukrainian armed forces wouldnt be able to use the equipment effectively and that it would take at least a year to deliver them. Throughout the fall, Zelenskyy <a href="https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/09/27/world/ukraine-offensive-powerful-weapons/">renewed</a> calls for them in the US media and during his Washington visit pleaded for them <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/25/inside-washingtons-about-face-on-sending-tanks-to-ukraine-00079560">directly to the White House</a>.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="EaMhOS">
By January, Chancellor Olaf Scholz had reportedly <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/19/german-tanks-ukraine-scholz-davos-00078503">said behind closed doors that</a> Germany would send Ukraine its <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/1/25/abrams-vs-leopard-tanks-why-are-they-important-in-ukraine">easier-to-operate</a> Leopard tanks — only if the US would send Abrams.
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="XRMEeD">
But the US Defense Departments policy leader, Colin Kahl, said that Abrams complex jet engine made it a no-go. “I just dont think were there yet,” he <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/pentagon-looks-shift-dynamic-ukraine-war-without-abrams-tanks-2023-01-18/">said</a> upon returning from a visit to Kyiv. The Pentagon also suggested that the tanks wouldnt make a huge difference for Ukraine on the battlefield.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="hNJ01y">
After a rather <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/top-us-officials-dont-want-give-ukraine-tanks-rcna66753">public discussion</a> about whether the US would send tanks over, the Biden administration changed its position, which led the way to Germany sending Leopard tanks. There was <a href="https://twitter.com/cepa/status/1618683305444118529">excitement</a> in some quarters of Washington. The head of the usually dispassionate Brookings Institutions Europe program, Constanze Stelzenmüller, called it “<a href="https://twitter.com/ConStelz/status/1617952894795534336">tanksgiving</a>” and tweeted that she would wear <a href="https://twitter.com/ConStelz/status/1618071842526486529">leopard print</a> to celebrate.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="oKVKoi">
On March 21, the Pentagon <a href="https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-war-abrams-tanks-94294a9c1e1acc50098afa440bcb4d40">announced</a> a sped-up timeline for their delivery.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="B1cyIW">
Some of this is about symbolism and the image of the US sending its most advanced systems to Ukraine. And some of it is very particularly about how it would shape Ukraines defense and prospective counter-offensive likely to unfold in the coming weeks.
</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="cg9LnV">
Staunch backers of Ukraine resented that it was even a discussion at all. <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/20/nato-russia-ukraine-poland-putin-military-aid/">Former military leaders</a> and <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/09/us-military-support-ukraine-war-russia-biden-incrementalism/">national security leaders</a> have been <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JWhCgG9ERUc">pushing</a> for a ramp-up of sending or producing more weapons, like <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/13/us-defense-military-procurement-production-arms-weapons-ammunition/">long-range missiles</a>, ASAP. The ideas vary, but generally argue that Ukraine needs the weapons to defeat Russia now to avoid a damaging protracted conflict. And that by taking an incremental approach or not providing the country with weapons like the <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-ukraine-needs-f-16s-putin-ukraine-invasion-military-aid-drones-jets-tanks-abrams-leopard-europe-kremlin-kyiv-ff7838cc">F-16s</a> <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/02/27/biden-f-16-fighter-jets-ukraine-war/">urgently</a>, Russia may gain an advantage.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="3BhRMg">
The success of the Biden administrations relative cautiousness has led some more hawkish experts to invert the chain of events, and <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/01/western-military-aid-ukraine-russia/672737/">argue</a> that the lack of Russian nuclear escalation signals that the US can send anything it wants to<strong> </strong>Ukraine without risking inadvertent expansion of the conflict.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="9AxKyY">
But<strong> </strong>Russia still may escalate, says Miranda Priebe, a political scientist at the Rand Corporation. “Its the wrong lesson to take from what has happened so far that there are no limits,” she told me. “Nuclear escalation isnt the only thing I worry about. Russia still has a lot of cards to play.” Those may include increased strikes on civilians and Ukrainian infrastructure, or massive cyber attacks.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="eYVkxe">
The US also needs to think about the sustainability of its involvement. Jeremy Shapiro, research director at the European Council on Foreign Relations, says the Biden administration is making good decisions about what to send at each phase of the war. But there are still dangers of a <a href="https://www.vox.com/world-politics/2023/2/24/23600166/ukraine-war-biden-russia-afghanistan-iraq-aid">quagmire</a>.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="jCUDr1">
“Theyre creating a situation for themselves where theyre inexorably getting drawn in more and more, and thats why theyre in a place right now that they didnt want to be 12 months ago,” he says, “which is supplying weapons which are frighteningly escalatory and even more importantly, facing a weapons-supply future that will be extremely difficult to satisfy, and will drain them of the capacity to promote other priorities, such as Asia-Pacific.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="n2ELvn">
As yet, the Biden administrations calibrated approach has worked, and its forced them to explain to the public what these weapons do and why they matter.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="aVSvlO">
“What I would like the US debate about weapons systems to be is focused on what were trying to achieve in the war,” Shapiro, who served in the Obama State Department, told me. “We have to define our own interests, which will be distinct although overlapping with the Ukrainians, and then we have to tailor the weapons systems to what our goals are.”
</p>
<h3 id="yx4fbS">
Could the conversation on weapons lead to a more robust policy debate?
</h3>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="oHpp93">
An enduring question is whether the Biden administration is fully in control of the sliding-scale dynamic, because as soon as theres a big-deal announcement that the US will send a new advanced weapons system, immediately the debate shifts to the next one, and the next one.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="SvIWh8">
When the White House convened one of its regular private Zoom calls with policy experts from outside of government on January 25, many participants applauded the administration for its tank moves. These background briefings for think-tankers have been described as cheerleading sessions.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ekqP4m">
But, a familiar voice said that the tanks were not enough, according to three attendees who asked to remain anonymous. Alexander Vindman, the retired lieutenant colonel who served as a Trump White House official and was a star of former presidents first impeachment trial, has been a vocal proponent of arming Ukraine to the max. On the January White House call, he asked about what more the US could do for Ukraine.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="C58NNc">
“They wanted a pat on the back. And, you know, I gave them that,” Vindman told me. But he calls the Biden administrations caution “reactive” and “non-strategic,” explaining that getting Ukraine air defense systems and fighter jets quickly would hasten Russias defeat and thus the wars end.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="0H5gWm">
“Its not that its been deliberative, its been plodding,” he said. “Were going to eventually provide these long-range systems, its a matter of when. Ukraine is going to get jets, too. Its a matter of when.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="bsncPJ">
Its true that much of Ukraines battlefield success is dependent on Western military assistance. But there are a lot of other debates and strategic concerns that need to be as prominent as the weapons question.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="5ZEPiw">
“I think we too quickly jump to: Should we give them ATACMS, F-16s? Whats the next move?” Charles Kupchan, a former adviser to then-Vice President Biden, recently <a href="https://www.cfr.org/event/how-does-war-ukraine-end">told</a> the Council on Foreign Relations. “And I think one of the key challenges we face moving forward is keeping American interest in sync with the nature of our commitment.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="LWJ66m">
Maybe the weapons questions can get us there.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="1pERsK">
A year into this conflict, with <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2023/1/15/23553637/kevin-mccarthy-congress-freedom-military-budget-cut-ukraine">Republican members of Congress</a>, former President Donald Trump, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis questioning the Biden administrations policy, it may lead to a more serious conversation about the issues at stake. Republicans are forcing Biden to more clearly articulate the importance of Ukraine to the United States.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="xSHATM">
Its not yet clear whether the US or Ukraine would <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/01/24/blinken-ponders-post-ukraine-war-order/">accept a situation</a> in which Ukraine regains much of the territory it had lost since Russias invasion started on February 24, 2022, but not the peninsula in the countrys south, Crimea, which Russia has occupied since 2014. “The main issue here to debate, which I think the weapons question deflects from, is what we are satisfied with in terms of Ukraine regaining territory,” says Stephen Wertheim of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="WQzJam">
At the same time, theres a drumbeat for Ukraine to get some form of Western security guarantees that might ultimately include membership in NATO. That deserves as much consideration as the weapons debate.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="THhW7D">
As we look back two decades later at the <a href="https://www.readtpa.com/p/where-are-they-now-the-pundits-who">feverish support</a> for the US invasion of Iraq and its current <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/19/violence-us-invasion-iraq-bombs-al-qaida-islamic-state">devastating impact</a> on the Middle East, the <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/23/iraq-ukraine-antiwar-china/">perils of groupthink</a> are on display. We must make space for dissenters. And we may be entering a moment where weapons provisions become so normalized that the US ends up invariably playing a role in ratcheting tensions up further and further without the sort of cautious deliberation that the Biden administration has expressed so far.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="1ISaD6">
Through specific weapons, the Biden administration is showing an increasing commitment to Ukraine. Still, attendees on the White House call in January told me that the White House pushed back against Ukraines biggest boosters. It goes to show how US and Ukrainian interests are not identical. There does not seem to be consideration, for example, of giving nuclear weapons to Ukraine.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="nWT2yQ">
For now, the sometimes tiresome debates around weapons serve as a proxy for a bigger conversation, one that may ultimately serve to inform Americans about the risks and realities of war.
</p>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-the-hindu-sports">From The Hindu: Sports</h1>
<ul>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Supernatural and Arabian Phoenix shine</strong> -</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Will try to be unpredictable for bowlers: Joe Root ahead of maiden IPL stint</strong> - “Last year was an exceptional year for the franchise and Ive always enjoyed watching Sanju play,” Root said sharing his thoughts on the Rajasthan Royals team</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Having played for so many years, expectation of people doesnt bother me: Rohit Sharma</strong> - The most successful captain in the history of IPL with five championships, Rohit Sharma knows that Mumbai Indians as one of the title contenders comes enters any tourney with a baggage of hype and hoopla.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Schutt all praise for BCCIs decision to strike pay parity</strong> - Megan Schutt says she is delighted that female players are now getting what they are due.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Riding the hurdles with a winning spirit</strong> - Meet Agasthi Chandrasekhar from Hyderabad, the first Indian to win a medal in the BMX National Series 2023-Series 1</p></li>
</ul>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-the-hindu-national-news">From The Hindu: National News</h1>
<ul>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Siddaramaiahs official car taken away as election code of conduct comes into force</strong> -</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Power demand peaks as temperature rises in State</strong> -</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Here are the big stories from Tamil Nadu today</strong> - Welcome to the Tamil Nadu Today newsletter, your guide from The Hindu on the major news stories to follow today. Curated and written by Lalitha Ranjani.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Spectator killed in bull race near Jolarpet</strong> - The bull charged towards the crowd and attacked 17-year-old Vikram, a school drop-out</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Why cant Modi be disqualified, asks Abhishek Banerjee</strong> - “I may not support Gandhis comment but I condemn the way he was disqualified from the Lok Sabha.”</p></li>
</ul>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-bbc-europe">From BBC: Europe</h1>
<ul>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Italy moves to ban lab-grown meat to protect food heritage</strong> - Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni says the proposed ban aims to protect farmers and consumers.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Amsterdam launches stay away ad campaign targeting young British men</strong> - The Dutch city targets UK men aged 18-35 in an ad campaign aimed at changing its reputation.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Swiss court case ties human rights to climate change</strong> - Thousands of women say the countrys climate change policy damages their right to life and health.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>King Charless first state visit: What to expect from Germany trip</strong> - Improving relations with Europe is the priority, as the Kings first state visit heads for Germany.</p></li>
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>New cars sold in EU must be zero-emission from 2035</strong> - The deal was delayed for weeks after Germany called for an exemption for cars running on e-fuels.</p></li>
</ul>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-ars-technica">From Ars Technica</h1>
<ul>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>With Amazon Alexas future in peril, Fire TVs offer a glimmer of hope</strong> - Fire TV devices encourage the kind of Alexa interactions that actually make money. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1926832">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Ransomware crooks are exploiting IBM file-exchange bug with a 9.8 severity</strong> - If you havent patched your Aspera Faspex server, now would be an excellent time. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1927511">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Apple Pay Later turns Apple into a full-on money lender</strong> - Financial product launches nearly a year after it was first announced. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1927427">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Healthy adults dont need annual COVID boosters, WHO advisors say</strong> - The advice clashes with FDAs suggestion to treat COVID boosters like flu shots. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1927482">link</a></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Huaweis foldable is thinner, lighter, and has more battery than Samsung</strong> - Huawei cant use 5G, Gorilla Glass, or the Google apps, but its managing. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1927299">link</a></p></li>
</ul>
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-jokes-subreddit">From Jokes Subreddit</h1>
<ul>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Whats the opposite of “Debbie Downer”?</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
<div class="md">
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
Beth-amphetamine
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
Edit: Geez, tough crowd.
</p>
</div>
<!-- SC_ON -->
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/Spiritual_Bet_7604"> /u/Spiritual_Bet_7604 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1251sjd/whats_the_opposite_of_debbie_downer/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1251sjd/whats_the_opposite_of_debbie_downer/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>A chicken farmer went to a local bar, sat next to a woman and ordered a glass of champagne.</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
<div class="md">
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
The woman perked up and said, “How about that? I just ordered a glass of champagne, too!”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“What a coincidence,” the farmer said. “This is a special day for me; I am celebrating.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“This is a special day for me too, I am also celebrating,” said the woman.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“What a coincidence!” said the farmer. As they clinked glasses, he added, “What are you celebrating?”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“My husband and I have been trying to have a child, and today my gynecologist told me that I am pregnant!”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“What a coincidence!” said the man. “Im a chicken farmer, and for years all of my hens were infertile, but today they are all laying fertilized eggs.”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“Thats great!” said the woman, “How did your chickens become fertile?”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
“I used a different rooster,” he replied.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
The woman smiled, clinked his glass and said, “What a coincidence!”
</p>
</div>
<!-- SC_ON -->
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/orgasmic2021"> /u/orgasmic2021 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/125et79/a_chicken_farmer_went_to_a_local_bar_sat_next_to/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/125et79/a_chicken_farmer_went_to_a_local_bar_sat_next_to/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Did you know that too much sex can cause memory loss?</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
<div class="md">
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
I read that in a medical journal on page 64, at 2:34pm on Friday 15th of August, 2021.
</p>
</div>
<!-- SC_ON -->
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/Motasim09"> /u/Motasim09 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1258c0u/did_you_know_that_too_much_sex_can_cause_memory/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1258c0u/did_you_know_that_too_much_sex_can_cause_memory/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>I wish this was a joke</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
<div class="md">
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
So Im a primary care physician and last week we did away with mandatory masking.
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
Today one of my young female front office girls approached me and said “People are so much nicer to me when I tell them they dont have to mask anymore!”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
I said “Thats great!”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
She said “yeah, its like when I tell a guy he doesnt need to use a condom!”
</p>
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
Im speechless.
</p>
</div>
<!-- SC_ON -->
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/LookingOutForU"> /u/LookingOutForU </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/124z2no/i_wish_this_was_a_joke/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/124z2no/i_wish_this_was_a_joke/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Why is there no pregnant Barbie doll?</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
<div class="md">
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
Because Ken came in another box.
</p>
</div>
<!-- SC_ON -->
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/travels_the_world"> /u/travels_the_world </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/124px4c/why_is_there_no_pregnant_barbie_doll/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/124px4c/why_is_there_no_pregnant_barbie_doll/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
</ul>
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