The Prisoners in a Cellar in the Ukrainian Village of Novyi Bykiv - A pattern of indiscriminate violence committed by Russian forces appears to have taken hold in a number of towns and villages in the Kyiv region. - link
Surviving the Standoff with the Republic of Texas - Twenty-five years ago, an armed militia tried to secede. When will it happen again? - link
The Forgotten Movement to Reclaim Africa’s Stolen Art - A new book explores the first campaign to decolonize Europe’s museums—and exposes the conspiracy that smothered it. - link
What “The Twilight Zone” Reveals About Today’s Prestige TV - Rod Serling’s early anthology series showed the ambitions and the potential pitfalls of high-minded television. - link
What the Latest Inflation Figures Mean for the Economy - John Cassidy on the Consumer Price Index, fears of a recession, and why Biden “is getting something of a raw deal.” - link
Maybe?
Elon Musk has offered to buy Twitter for $43 billion. Musk, the world’s richest man, says he wants to turn Twitter into a privately owned company because he “believe[s] free speech is a societal imperative for a functioning democracy.”
Should you take him seriously? Yes. And no.
The short version of the “yes” case is that Musk — who is currently worth an estimated $273 billion, thanks to the soaring value of Tesla, his publicly held electric car company — has the resources to buy Twitter.
And Twitter, unlike other public tech companies like Facebook and Google, doesn’t have a financial structure that gives its founders and management control of the company without owning a majority of its shares. So in theory, if enough investors who own Twitter shares want to accept Musk’s bid, he’ll own the company.
And the short version of the “no” case is that just because Elon Musk says something doesn’t mean it’s so — even when he’s talking about his own money. Musk is, at a minimum, maddeningly inconsistent. In 2018, for instance, he announced — on Twitter — that he wanted to turn Tesla into a private company and that he had “funding secured.” Which turned out not to be true.
More recently, Musk has: Acquired a 9 percent stake in Twitter; agreed to join the company’s board; decided not to join the board; tweeted out erratic proposals to “improve” the company, like turning part of its headquarters into a homeless shelter. This morning he told investors in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing: “After the past several days of thinking this over, I have decided I want to acquire the company and take it private.”
Who knows what he’ll think several days from now?
Even shorter: Musk has offered $54.20 per share for Twitter, which was trading for $45 per share Thursday morning before his offer became public. But Twitter was trading for more than $70 per share a year ago. Investors may simply decide that Musk’s offer isn’t good enough, and nothing else happens.
So there’s no way of telling what’s really going to happen in the near future. Musk says his offer is a one-time-only thing — a “best and final” offer. “I am not playing the back-and-forth game,” he wrote this morning. But, again, he’s Elon Musk. So taking him at his word, even if those are words he writes in a securities filing, isn’t advisable.
But here’s the other thing: Even though he’s Elon Musk, he may have a point. Twitter may well be better off as a private company.
That’s not because of Musk’s assertion that Twitter should be the “platform for free speech around the globe,” and that “free speech is a societal imperative for a functioning democracy.” My colleague Whizy Kim has already explained why you should be wary when the world’s richest man claims to be a free speech advocate.
But Musk isn’t the first person to make the argument that Twitter shouldn’t be a public company. Twitter investors have essentially been making that argument for years with their lack of enthusiasm. And I’ve heard of Twitter execs who have toyed with the idea of finding a private owner for the company in the past.
That’s because it’s not a wild point to argue that Twitter has enormous power as a messaging platform (see, for instance, Donald Trump) but limited prospects as a business. In a nutshell, Twitter has the same business model — free and supported by advertisers — as Google and Facebook. But it has much, much less reach than those companies, so advertisers aren’t going to give it as much support.
That’s why Google brought in $257 billion last year, and Facebook brought in $117 billion —and Twitter did $5 billion. And it’s why Google is worth $1.7 trillion, Facebook $583 billion, and Twitter $36 billion.
One argument in response to that disparity is that Twitter shouldn’t be a free, ad-supported business — that it should be something that people pay to use. But it’s easy to imagine that if Twitter cost money to use, most of Twitter’s users would decide that they’d rather spend their money on just about anything else. Which would mean the remaining, paying users would be talking to an even smaller audience — which would defeat the appeal that Twitter had for them in the first place.
But Twitter isn’t the world’s worst business. It’s just not a great one. Last year, it more or less turned that $5 billion in revenue into about $273 million in profit — a 5 percent margin.
That’s more profitable than, say, your average grocery store. But nothing like what public investors expect from a super-powerful, world-shaking Silicon Valley tech platform. But a private owner who isn’t consumed with turning Twitter into a profit center might be totally happy with that.
Whether Twitter employees — and in particular, its in-demand engineers — would be happy at a company that doesn’t offer the prospect of getting rich from stock options and grants would be another question. We will have plenty more in the coming days.
But, yeah: Sometimes billionaires buy things because they want to make money from them, and sometimes billionaires buy yachts, which won’t make them any money. And if you’re the world’s richest man, Twitter can be your $43 billion yacht.
OpenAI’s DALL-E 2 is incredible at turning text into images. It also highlights the problem of AI bias — and the need to change incentives in the industry.
You may have seen some weird and whimsical pictures floating around the internet recently. There’s a Shiba Inu dog wearing a beret and black turtleneck. And a sea otter in the style of “Girl with a Pearl Earring” by the Dutch painter Vermeer. And a bowl of soup that looks like a monster knitted out of wool.
These pictures weren’t drawn by any human illustrator. Instead, they were created by DALL-E 2, a new AI system that can turn textual descriptions into images. Just write down what you want to see, and the AI draws it for you — with vivid detail, high resolution, and, arguably, real creativity.
Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI — the company that created DALL-E 2 — called it “the most delightful thing to play with we’ve created so far … and fun in a way I haven’t felt from technology in a while.”
That’s totally true: DALL-E 2 is delightful and fun! But like many fun things, it’s also very risky.
There are the obvious risks — that people could use this type of AI to make everything from pornography to political deepfakes, or the possibility that it’ll eventually put some human illustrators out of work. But there is also the risk that DALL-E 2 — like so many other cutting- edge AI systems — will reinforce harmful stereotypes and biases, and in doing so, accentuate some of our social problems.
As is typical for AI systems, DALL-E 2 has inherited biases from the corpus of data used to train it: millions of images scraped off the internet and their corresponding captions. That means for all the delightful images that DALL-E 2 has produced, it’s also capable of generating a lot of images that are not delightful.
For example, here’s what the AI gives you if you ask it for an image of lawyers:
Meanwhile, here’s the AI’s output when you ask for a flight attendant:
OpenAI is well aware that DALL-E 2 generates results exhibiting gender and racial bias. In fact, the examples above are from the company’s own “Risks and Limitations” document, which you’ll find if you scroll to the bottom of the main DALL-E 2 webpage.
OpenAI researchers made some attempts to resolve bias and fairness problems. But they couldn’t really root out these problems in an effective way because different solutions result in different trade-offs.
For example, the researchers wanted to filter out sexual content from the training data because that could lead to disproportionate harm to women. But they found that when they tried to filter that out, DALL-E 2 generated fewer images of women in general. That’s no good, because it leads to another kind of harm to women: erasure.
OpenAI is far from the only artificial intelligence company dealing with bias problems and trade- offs. It’s a challenge for the entire AI community.
“Bias is a huge industry-wide problem that no one has a great, foolproof answer to,” Miles Brundage, the head of policy research at OpenAI, told me. “So a lot of the work right now is just being transparent and upfront with users about the remaining limitations.”
In February, before DALL-E 2 was released, OpenAI invited 23 external researchers to “red team” it — engineering-speak for trying to find as many flaws and vulnerabilities in it as possible, so the system could be improved. One of the main suggestions the red team made was to limit the initial release to only trusted users.
To its credit, OpenAI adopted this suggestion. For now, only about 400 people (a mix of OpenAI’s employees and board members, plus hand- picked academics and creatives) get to use DALL-E 2, and only for non-commercial purposes.
That’s a change from how OpenAI chose to deploy GPT-3, a text generator hailed for its potential to enhance our creativity. Given a phrase or two written by a human, it can add on more phrases that sound uncannily human-like. But it’s shown bias against certain groups, like Muslims, whom it disproportionately associates with violence and terrorism. OpenAI knew about the bias problems but released the model anyway to a limited group of vetted developers and companies, who could use GPT-3 for commercial purposes.
Last year, I asked Sandhini Agarwal, a researcher on OpenAI’s policy team, whether it makes sense that GPT-3 was being probed for bias by scholars even as it was released to some commercial actors. She said that going forward, “That’s a good thing for us to think about. You’re right that, so far, our strategy has been to have it happen in parallel. And maybe that should change for future models.”
The fact that the deployment approach has changed for DALL-E 2 seems like a positive step. Yet, as DALL-E 2’s “Risks and Limitations” document acknowledges, “even if the Preview itself is not directly harmful, its demonstration of the potential of this technology could motivate various actors to increase their investment in related technologies and tactics.”
And you’ve got to wonder: Is that acceleration a good thing, at this stage? Do we really want to be building and launching these models now, knowing it can spur others to release their versions even quicker?
Some experts argue that since we know there are problems with the models and we don’t know how to solve them, we should give AI ethics research time to catch up to the advances and address some of the problems, before continuing to build and release new tech.
Helen Ngo, an affiliated researcher with the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI, says one thing we desperately need is standard metrics for bias. A bit of work has been done on measuring, say, how likely certain attributes are to be associated with certain groups. “But it’s super understudied,” Ngo said. “We haven’t really put together industry standards or norms yet on how to go about measuring these issues” — never mind solving them.
OpenAI’s Brundage told me that letting a limited group of users play around with an AI model allows researchers to learn more about the issues that would crop up in the real world. “There’s a lot you can’t predict, so it’s valuable to get in contact with reality,” he said.
That’s true enough, but since we already know about many of the problems that repeatedly arise in AI, it’s not clear that this is a strong enough justification for launching the model now, even in a limited way.
Brundage also noted another motivation at OpenAI: competition. “Some of the researchers internally were excited to get this out in the world because they were seeing that others were catching up,” he said.
That spirit of competition is a natural impulse for anyone involved in creating transformative tech. It’s also to be expected in any organization that aims to make a profit. Being first out of the gate is rewarded, and those who finish second are rarely remembered in Silicon Valley.
As the team at Anthropic, an AI safety and research company, put it in a recent paper, “The economic incentives to build such models, and the prestige incentives to announce them, are quite strong.”
But it’s easy to see how these incentives may be misaligned for producing AI that truly benefits all of humanity. Rather than assuming that other actors will inevitably create and deploy these models, so there’s no point in holding off, we should ask the question: How can we actually change the underlying incentive structure that drives all actors?
The Anthropic team offers several ideas. One of their observations is that over the past few years, a lot of the splashiest AI research has been migrating from academia to industry. To run large-scale AI experiments these days, you need a ton of computing power — more than 300,000 times what you needed a decade ago — as well as top technical talent. That’s both expensive and scarce, and the resulting cost is often prohibitive in an academic setting.
So one solution would be to give more resources to academic researchers; since they don’t have a profit incentive to commercially deploy their models quickly the same way industry researchers do, they can serve as a counterweight. Specifically, countries could develop national research clouds to give academics access to free, or at least cheap, computing power; there’s already an existing example of this in Compute Canada, which coordinates access to powerful computing resources for Canadian researchers.
The Anthropic team also recommends exploring regulation that would change the incentives. “To do this,” they write, “there will be a combination of soft regulation (e.g., the creation of voluntary best practices by industry, academia, civil society, and government), and hard regulation (e.g., transferring these best practices into standards and legislation).”
Although some good new norms have been adopted voluntarily within the AI community in recent years — like publishing “model cards,” which document a model’s risks, as OpenAI did for DALL-E 2 — the community hasn’t yet created repeatable standards that make it clear how developers should measure and mitigate those risks.
“This lack of standards makes it both more challenging to deploy systems, as developers may need to determine their own policies for deployment, and it also makes deployments inherently risky, as there’s less shared knowledge about what ‘safe’ deployments look like,” the Anthropic team writes. “We are, in a sense, building the plane as it is taking off.”
Coalition for TJ v. Fairfax County School Board is a testament to just how much Republicans have radicalized on race.
A new case just arrived on the Supreme Court’s “shadow docket” that could upend a quarter-century of higher education policy and end diversity programs that were once on the cutting edge of conservative thinking. Coalition for TJ v. Fairfax County School Board is a significant escalation in the school admissions wars, because it rests on the assumption that the current crop of Republican judges will not tolerate diversity programs that do not explicitly consider race.
Twenty-five years ago as governor of Texas, George W. Bush signed a law creating the state’s “Top Ten Percent” rule, which, as the name implies, guarantees Texas students who graduate in the top 10 percent of their high school class admission to state-funded universities. The program is still in effect today, although the state’s flagship school, the University of Texas at Austin, now only accepts the top 6 percent of students due to an increase in applicants.
The Top Ten Percent rule was enacted in response to a 1996 federal appeals court decision, which struck down an affirmative action program at UT-Austin’s law school. But it quickly took on a political life of its own. As a candidate for president, and later as president, Bush touted the Ten Percent plan as a conservative alternative to affirmative action programs that explicitly took account of race when deciding who to admit.
The idea behind the plan was that it would open the doors of Texas’s best public universities to students at predominantly Black or Latino high schools, many of whom historically were unlikely to attend places like UT-Austin.
And yet, this program, which was a centerpiece of Bush’s higher education proposals and which has been emulated by red and blue states alike, is now threatened by the Coalition for TJ case pending before the Supreme Court. Coalition for TJ involves a highly selective public high school that switched less than two years ago to an admissions process that mirrors the Texas rule, partially to create a more diverse student body. The arguments advanced by the plaintiffs in this case potentially threaten any program undertaken for the purpose of fostering diversity at selective schools.
The Coalition for TJ plaintiffs, moreover, have a very real shot of prevailing. The Supreme Court, with its 6-3 Republican supermajority, is increasingly hostile toward any effort to lift up racially disadvantaged groups. And it is widely expected to strike down affirmative action programs at Harvard and the University of North Carolina next year.
But a victory for these plaintiffs would still be an enormous escalation by the Supreme Court, as it would potentially rule out programs that are race-neutral — meaning that they do not require school officials to consider the race of individual applicants when deciding who to admit — but that were enacted in order to foster greater diversity.
The Supreme Court has heard a string of cases, stretching back to Regents of the University of California v. Bakke (1978), involving university admissions programs that are “race- conscious,” meaning that they explicitly took account of race when deciding which students to admit. In Bakke, for example, the Court struck down a medical school admissions program that set aside 16 of the school’s 100 seats in the incoming class for Black, Asian, Native American, or “Chicano” applicants.
Bakke and other, more recent decisions, however, also made clear that race-conscious programs are sometimes allowed. While schools cannot use quotas or other mathematical formulas that give an advantage to applicants of a certain race, current law permits schools to consider race when deciding among similarly qualified applicants, all of whom are likely to thrive at the school.
That could change soon, however. Right now, two cases are pending before the Supreme Court which challenge race-conscious admissions programs at Harvard and the University of North Carolina. These more modern affirmative action programs also give some preference to applicants who would add racial diversity to the school, but only in fairly marginal cases. Under Harvard’s system, for example, race is one of several factors — other such factors include athletic ability, legacy status, or economic disadvantage — which can “tip” an outstanding applicant who would otherwise be rejected into the small pool of Harvard applicants who are accepted.
Coalition for TJ, by contrast, involves a race-neutral system for selecting who is admitted to
the Thomas Jefferson High School for Science and Technology (“TJ”), a public magnet school in northern Virginia known for its outstanding STEM instruction and high levels of college matriculation for graduates. TJ draws its students from nearby middle schools.
Until recently, TJ used a battery of three standardized tests to screen applicants. The top performers on these tests were then designated “semifinalists,” and admitted students were selected from among these semifinalists based on their GPA, test scores, teacher recommendations, and several writing assignments that semifinalists submitted as part of the application process.
In late 2020, the school changed its admissions process and modeled it after Texas’s Ten Percent plan. Under the new system, each middle school that is eligible to send students to TJ receives a certain number of slots equivalent to 1.5 percent of the school’s eighth grade class size — so, much like the Texas system, the top applicants from each of these middle schools are guaranteed admission.
After these seats are filled, the school also admits about 100 more students, who are evaluated based on factors such as their GPA and an essay submitted by applicants. Certain underrepresented applicants, such as those from middle schools that historically sent few students to TJ, or students from low-income families, are also given a preference.
Notably, neither the old system nor the new system takes explicit account of an applicant’s race. Indeed, under the new system, school officials who screen applicants are not told each applicant’s race, gender, or name. TJ’s admissions program, in other words, is “race-neutral” as it uses a set of criteria to screen applicants that do not include race.
Yet, while TJ’s system is race- neutral, there is considerable evidence that the local school board decided to change the school’s admissions process, at least in part, because of concerns that the old process did not produce a student body that resembled the racial demographics of the local community.
In June of 2020, for example, the school released demographic data on its freshman class which, according to a federal judge, showed that the “number of Black students admitted was too small to report.” Shortly thereafter, the school principal wrote a message to students and parents stating that “we each have a responsibility to our community to speak up and take actions that counter racism and discrimination in our society,” and noting that the school’s student body “did not reflect the racial composition” in the local school district. A school board member later commented that “we must recognize the … unacceptable numbers of African Americans that have been accepted to TJ.”
In the final five years that the school used its old admissions process, Asian Americans received at least 65 percent of offers to matriculate at TJ. In the first year that the school used the new process, by contrast, just over 54 percent of admitted students were Asian American. Meanwhile, other racial groups gained ground. About seven percent of the students offered admission in 2021 are Black.
The Coalition for TJ plaintiffs emphasize the evidence that TJ changed its admissions process as part of an intentional effort to racially diversify the school. According to their court filing asking the justices to block the new system, this system requires Asian American applicants “to compete for seats at TJ in a system intended to discriminate against them because of their race.”
If this argument — that race-neutral programs are suspect if they are motivated by a desire to increase racial diversity — succeeds, it could sound the death knell for similar race-neutral programs intended to diversify schools and universities, including the Top Ten Percent plan favored by Bush. Advocates of programs like Top Ten Percent weren’t exactly shy about their own intentions to use race-neutral means to foster student diversity.
As a candidate for president, for example, Bush touted Texas’s program and a similar program in Florida as a way to “affect the pool of applicants of minority students available for higher ed in a positive way.” Similarly, in a 2003 speech delivered when he was president, Bush praised Top Ten-style programs in California, Florida, and Texas as a way that “diversity can be achieved without using quotas.”
The Supreme Court’s affirmative action decisions, moreover, largely endorse Bush’s view that schools may try to achieve greater levels of racial diversity, and that race-neutral programs are the preferred method to do so — although the Court’s decisions also give schools slightly more leeway to use race- conscious programs than Bush would have allowed.
In Grutter v. Bollinger (2003), for example, the Court acknowledged that “numerous studies show that student body diversity promotes learning outcomes, and ‘better prepares students for an increasingly diverse workforce and society, and better prepares them as professionals.’” The idea is that students don’t just learn from their instructors, they also learn from the varied experiences of their classmates. So a student of any race who attends a racially diverse school will receive a superior education.
More recently, in Fisher
Fisher also held that race-neutral methods of promoting diversity are preferred to race-conscious methods. Indeed, if a school wishes to use race-conscious admissions standards, it must first prove that a race-neutral method “would not promote its interest in the educational benefits of diversity ‘about as well and at tolerable administrative expense.’”
Under current law, in other words, public schools and universities have a legitimate interest in fostering racial diversity, and they may intentionally design their admissions standards to increase the likelihood that students from underrepresented racial groups are admitted. Schools with race-conscious admissions programs may struggle to justify those programs in court, but the Supreme Court has historically treated race-neutral programs intended to enhance diversity as benign.
But there’s no guarantee that the Court will continue to view such race-neutral programs as acceptable. Fisher was a 4-3 decision, with retired Justice Anthony Kennedy writing the majority opinion, and the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg joining the majority. Both Kennedy and Ginsburg were replaced by archconservative Trump appointees. (The reason why only seven justices decided Fisher is that the case was handed down after Justice Antonin Scalia’s death created a vacancy on the Court, and Justice Elena Kagan was recused.)
The Court’s current Republican supermajority has shown extraordinary hostility toward laws intended to promote racial equality, and it is well to the right of an earlier generation of Republicans, like former President Bush. In 2006, for example, Bush signed legislation reauthorizing the Voting Rights Act, which forbids race discrimination in elections, but the current Supreme Court has since largely dismantled this historic piece of civil rights legislation.
It’s not hard to imagine, in other words, that the Court’s current majority could hold that any policy that is motivated by a desire to increase opportunities for underrepresented racial minorities is constitutionally suspect.
IPL 2022: SRH vs KKR | Knight Riders test for Washington-less Sunrisers - KKR are heading into the match after a loss against Delhi Capitals
CD Projekt’s Witcher 3 for next-gen consoles postponed indefinitely - The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt premiered in 2015 to critical acclaim and helped CD Projekt gain worldwide recognition
IPL 2022 | Jayawardene ‘not concerned’ about Rohit Sharma’s form - The MI captain has managed just 108 runs in five matches so far
IPL 2022: PBKS vs MI | Rohit Sharma fined ₹24 lakh for Mumbai Indians' slow over rate - The rest of the members in Mumbai’s playing eleven were fined ₹6 lakhs or 25% of their match fee, whichever is lower
FIFA introduces own soccer platform FIFA+ - By the end of 2022, FIFA+ will be streaming the equivalent of 40,000 live games per year from 100 Member Associations across all six confederations, including 11,000 women’s matches
A.P. fire accident: BJP demands ₹1 crore ex gratia to victims’ families -
Amidst communal strife in Karnataka, Belur’s historic Chennakeshava temple strikes a note of harmony - Moulvi reads excerpts from the Koran to mark the beginning of the rathotsava (chariot or car festival) at the historic Chennakeshava temple in Belur
Family health centre inauguration in Kollam -
Governor, CM express grief over fire accident in chemical factory in Eluru district - Six workers died and 13 others were injured in the incident
Kollam Pooram to be held on April 16 - It is the finale of annual 10-day festival of Asramam Sri Krishna Swamy Temple
Russian warship Moskva: What do we know? - Ukraine claims to have fired missiles at the cruiser, Russia says the damage was caused by a fire.
Ukraine war: Farmers stretched to the brink in Odesa - Farmers say that if the war continues, they will only last for one more harvest before going bust.
French election: Le Pen angered by protest over ties to Putin - The two rivals for the presidency trade accusations after a woman is manhandled during the campaign.
Germany kidnap plot: Gang planned to overthrow democracy - A gang with links to far-right and anti-Covid groups wanted to overthrow democracy, say prosecutors.
Ukraine War: Finland to decide on Nato membership in weeks says PM Marin - Sanna Marin’s comments came as a report warned Nato membership could increase tensions with Russia.
Ars Frontiers, the first Ars Technica conference, comes to DC - We’re holding a conference in May—and if you want to come, read on! - link
Heat-driven photovoltaic device hits 40 percent efficiency - Efficient device is meant to extract electricity from extremely high temperatures. - link
Autopsies suggest COVID’s smell loss is caused by inflammation, not virus - In 23 patients who died, researchers found olfactory nerve damage but little virus. - link
Meta announces plans to monetize the Metaverse, and creators are not happy - Creators will fork over 25% after the 30% already taken by hardware platforms. - link
Ars takes a clean room tour of JPL’s asteroid-orbiting Psyche spacecraft - The spacecraft will launch this August and reach its namesake asteroid in January 2026. - link
He ransomware.
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When flaccid, it only reads “Wy”.
On our honeymoon we went to a nude beach.
The Jamaican bartender had “Wy” also tattooed on his penis.
So I asked him “Excuse me, I couldn’t help but notice your tattoo, is your wife’s name Wendy by any chance?”
He replies “Na mon! Mi tattoo say ‘Welcome to Jamaica, have a nice day’”
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This is why people with no sense of humour, have a heightened sense of self- importance.
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Grandpa: “I forgot her name five years ago and I’m scared to ask her.”
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We can call it “Alien vs Predator”
amount of people who would want to make it a reality. Netflix if your seeing this post you know what to do.
If you want, you may follow this post - I may update it in the future if something exciting happens.
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