Daily-Dose

Contents

From New Yorker

From Vox

Viral clips show anti-maskers melting down as a school board implemented a commonsense mask mandate.

An explosive school board meeting on Tuesday evening in Franklin, Tennessee, illustrated how mask mandates, even in schools where students are too young to be vaccinated, have become a new front in the Covid-19 culture war largely being waged by anti-vax and vaccine-skeptical right-wingers.

At the Tennessee meeting, where the Williamson County Schools Board of Education voted to require masks for elementary school students, staff, and visitors inside buildings and buses, Tennessean reporter Brinley Hineman shot video of the proceedings being disrupted by extremely vocal, agitated anti-mask demonstrators who chanted, “No more masks!”

Here’s the video I tried to tweet earlier but wouldn’t go through. A man was being disruptive during the Williamson County Schools meeting and deputies escorted him out. Dozens of enraged anti-mask parents followed. pic.twitter.com/5LXDCJiInW

— Brinley Hineman (@brinleyhineman) August 11, 2021

Even more disconcertingly, Tennessee journalist Matt Masters shot video after the meeting showing anti-mask demonstrators harassing doctors and nurses who had spoken in favor of the mask mandate as they tried to leave the parking lot. (The clip was later reposted on Twitter by Tennessean reporter Natalie Allison.)

“We know who you are. You can leave freely, but we will find you,” one man said, as police officers separated the crowd so the public health experts could drive away safely.

The parking lot after a school board meeting last night in Franklin, the wealthiest place in Tennessee. Parents harassed medical professionals who had spoken in favor of masks in schools. “We know who you are. You can leave freely, but we will find you.” pic.twitter.com/SzR0uvMeE7

— Natalie Allison (@natalie_allison) August 11, 2021

The scenes in Tennessee are far from an isolated occurrence. On August 5 in North Carolina, anti-maskers erupted in similar hysterics after the Buncombe County Board of Education voted to continue a district-wide mask mandate.

The crowd is demanding a re-vote @BuncombeSchools board has motioned for a recess. Board members have left the building. pic.twitter.com/Cc2Vk9B6Ny

— Hannah Mackenzie (@Hannahh_Mackk) August 5, 2021

As schools resume, the delta variant is driving a sharp increase in Covid-19 cases throughout the country — and especially in places like Tennessee, where vaccination rates remain low. Yet even as hospitalization numbers for children rise, anti-maskers are lashing out at officials who are trying to keep students, teachers, and faculty safe while allowing schools to open for in-person instruction.

It’s worth noting that kids under 12 years old — roughly sixth-graders and younger — aren’t currently eligible to be vaccinated. And the spread of the delta variant presents risks even for vaccinated teachers and staff, since it has demonstrated a rare but still significant ability to infect vaccinated people. (Cases among vaccinated people are generally much milder than those among the unvaccinated, however, and as my colleague German Lopez recently detailed, unvaccinated people continue to make up the vast majority of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths.)

Scientific studies have repeatedly demonstrated that face masks are effective in reducing the transmission of airborne viruses, including the coronavirus that causes Covid-19. Yet, dating back at least to April 2020 — when then-President Donald Trump announced he didn’t intend to follow his own government’s guidance to mask up — and continuing through Trump’s repeated disparagement of Joe Biden for diligently wearing them on the campaign trail, mask-wearing has become an increasingly politicized indicator of how seriously one takes a pandemic that has now killed more than 618,000 Americans.

Biden looks like he can barely believe it as Trump insists that masks aren’t necessarily good for slowing the spread of coronavirus pic.twitter.com/okZf2pVsw0

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) September 30, 2020

But while anti-maskers may be extremely loud, they appear to be in the minority. Polling by the Kaiser Family Foundation released Wednesday found that 63 percent of parents of school- aged children believe unvaccinated students and faculty should be required to wear masks at school. Along similar lines, despite all of the commotion at Tuesday’s meeting, Williamson County Schools Board of Education chair Nancy Garrett said she received 781 emails from people in favor of the mask mandate and just 348 from those who oppose it. As Josh Kraushaar at the National Journal noted, that data point — coming from a suburban county where Trump won 62 percent of the vote in the 2020 election — suggests mask mandates are generally popular even in some red areas.

Nevertheless, railing against mask mandates even as Covid cases spike has proven to be a good way for Republican politicians to fire up their base. Governors Greg Abbott of Texas and Ron DeSantis of Florida — two of the hardest-hit states during the recent case surge — recently moved to ban mask mandates altogether, much to the ire of local officials who are challenging them in courts.

Tennessee, meanwhile, has been at the forefront not only of Republican efforts to turn masks into a wedge issue, but also of GOP efforts to translate vaccine skepticism into policy. As I detailed in July, the public health department in Tennessee, under pressure from increasingly vaccine-skeptical Republican legislators, fired its top vaccine official, then prohibited state officials from engaging in any form of vaccine outreach to minors. Those moves came amid an ongoing wave of Covid cases in the state, with hospitalizations having increased by more than 100 percent in the last two weeks. (Just under 40 percent of Tennesseans have been fully vaccinated as of August 10.)

Unsurprisingly, following Tuesday’s meeting, Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) posted a tweet endorsing the cause of parents resisting mask mandates, writing, “No masks for kids!”

While a number of public health experts and workers spoke out at Tuesday’s meeting on behalf of masks — “We would love it is if there was another way out of this pandemic, but what we have right now a way to vaccinate our students and our public and we can wear masks until all of that happens,” said one parent, pediatrician Dr. Jim Keffer — other developments during the proceedings highlighted that working in public health doesn’t necessarily mean someone understands best practices when it comes to basic public health.

Outside Tuesday’s meeting, a reporter with the liberal Tennessee Holler talked to an anti-mask nurse who proclaimed, “There’s no pandemic.” That nurse, wearing his scrubs, was later escorted out of the meeting by a police officer.

Meanwhile, Tennessee Stands — one of the groups driving the anti- mask demonstrations in the state — on Wednesday urged its nearly 13,000 Facebook followers to refuse to comply with school mask mandates like the one just approved in Williamson County.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
</figure>

A new UN interactive atlas reveals how climate change will shape weather around the world.

Humans have warmed the planet by an average of 1.2 degrees Celsius since industrialization began in the 19th century. This small-sounding change has helped fuel severe wildfires, record-breaking heatwaves, floods, and an ever-growing list of other disasters.

What’s worrying is that Earth will continue to heat up — likely past 1.5 degrees — even if humans slash fossil fuel emissions immediately, according to a landmark UN climate report released this week. So does that mean weather will get worse, too?

Now you can see for yourself. This week, alongside its report, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) launched a new mapping tool that shows how weather around the world will change under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.

While the IPCC Interactive Atlas didn’t get as much attention as harrowing news stories about the report itself, it’s a striking tool that projects regional temperature, rainfall, snowfall, and even sea level rise. It’s powered by the same models that produced data for the report, and represents some of the best climate science out there in visual form.

The technology behind the map is impressive, too. The atlas took three years to make and “over 1.5 million hours of computing time” on a supercomputer, according to Juan José Sáenz de la Torre, a spokesperson for Predictia, the company that helped build the atlas.

The map tries to strike a balance between the simplicity of, say, Google Maps, and a highly specialized scientific tool. The IPCC has received feedback that it’s “too dorky,” so it may update the user interface, said Linda Mearns, a senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research who was involved in developing the tool. At the same time, its features might be too limited for the most sophisticated users, said Michael E. Mann, a professor of atmospheric science at Pennsylvania State University. The atlas doesn’t, for example, display data on the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events like fires and floods.

Nonetheless, it’s a major step beyond the static graphics in the IPCC report. And once you get a hang of it, you can clearly see the disastrous impact of climate change on every corner of the planet — from rising temperatures to rising seas — if countries and fossil fuel companies don’t quickly cut their carbon footprint.

Here’s how to use the atlas, and some of the insights it reveals.

How to use the IPCC atlas

The basics

  1. Go to this website, and click on the box “regional information.” That will take you to the map.
  2. By default, you’ll see the world under an average of 2°C of warming, compared to a historical baseline (1850 to 1990). You’ll notice that the Arctic and the American West, for example, are darker shades of red, indicating that they’re likely to warm faster than other areas under this scenario.
  3. From there, you have a lot of different features to play with. Check out the tab “variable,” which allows you to choose what appears on the map — change in average temperature, precipitation, snowfall, and so on. You can also select sea level rise and other ocean variables.
  4. To lay out different climate scenarios, you can use the tab “value and period.” Again, the default is a world under 2°C of warming, but to factor in the possibility that humans will drastically reduce their emissions (or not), you can change it to 1.5, 3, or 4°C. You can also set the scenario according to a time period (such as 2081 to 2100) under one of four greenhouse gas emissions scenarios laid out in the IPCC report.
  5. If you want more regional information — such as to see what’s happening in the Western US — there are a few things you can do beyond zooming in. First, under the “dataset” tab, choose a “CORDEX” for whatever area you’re interested in (such as CORDEX North America). CORDEX models are more accurate on a regional scale than the default model, which is global. Then click on a specific region and a window will appear at the bottom of the map, with all kinds of information for that area.

Other neat features

There are a few additional features worth pointing out, such as the side-by-side function, which shows two different climate scenarios next to each other on a map. For example, you can compare the likely change in rainfall under 1.5 vs. 3°C of warming. To use this feature, click the “duplicate map” button on the right-hand side of the screen.

There’s also a neat graphing tool called seasonal stripes, which breaks down weather and climate changes by season. You can find this feature by clicking a region and selecting the “seasonal stripes” tab. (The tab to the left of it is neat, too. Each row represents the results of a different model.)

Lastly, check out the “point information” button on the right side of the map. It allows you to get information on whatever variable you’ve selected by just clicking anywhere on the atlas. There are a lot of other features, which you can learn about here.

What the map tells us about our future climate

The IPCC report reveals in new detail just how connected extreme weather and climate change really are. The chance of intense heatwaves, torrential rainfall, and drought is likely to increase with each degree the planet warms, the authors wrote.

Consider the American West. It will become much, much warmer as global temperatures rise, the map shows. It’s becoming drier, too, Mearns said, and together those changes increase the risk of severe wildfires.

 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The change in maximum daily temperature, relative to a historic baseline, under different warming scenarios for the continental US. From top to bottom: 1.5, 2, 3, and 4°C of warming.

The graphic above shows the continental US under 1.5, 2, 3, and 4°C of warming. Red indicates the change in the average daily maximum temperature, relative to a historical baseline.

If you’re looking at warming under different emissions scenarios, it’s also hard to ignore the deep red hues in the Arctic. Temperatures there are rising about three times faster than average global warming, the IPCC report finds.

 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Change in average annual temperature, relative to a historic baseline under 2°C of warming.

All that warming is shrinking Arctic ice, as you might expect. Alarmingly, the Arctic is likely to be “practically ice-free” at least once before 2050 (in the month of September) even under the least-dire emissions scenarios, according to the IPCC report.

 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Change in the concentration of sea ice under 2°C of warming, relative to a historical baseline. Darker green indicates a greater loss of sea ice.

The map also shows expected decreases in rainfall. The Mediterranean, for example, is set to get much drier by the end of the century under the high-emissions scenario — especially in the summer — as you can see from the seasonal stripes chart below. Darker colors indicate less rainfall.

 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Future change in rainfall by month under a high emissions scenario, relative to a historical baseline, for the Mediterranean region. Darker colors indicate less rainfall.

Parts of West Asia, on the other hand, including Saudi Arabia and Iran, will likely get much wetter, according to the CORDEX model for the region. (The global model suggests north-central Africa will get more rainfall, too.)

Different emissions paths lead to drastically different outcomes

One thing that’s so useful about the IPCC atlas is that it demonstrates what happens if humans — especially governments and fossil-fuel producers, such as oil and gas companies — fail to cut carbon emissions.

The two maps below show the change in very hot days (above 35°C, or 95 degrees Fahrenheit). The one on top is a world where we cut carbon emissions relatively quickly, and the one below shows a high- emissions scenario. The darker the red, the more hot days.

 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The expected increase in the number of days above 35°C (95 degrees Fahrenheit) under a low-emissions (top) scenario and a high-emissions (bottom) scenario, relative to a historical baseline. Darker shades indicate a greater change.

This shows that while temperatures will rise even under low-emissions scenarios, they could be a lot worse if emissions continue to climb. And pretty much every variable you plug in shows similarly stunning contrasts under high- and low-emissions scenarios, such as these maps of sea-level rise. Similar to the graphics above, the top and bottom maps show low- and high-emissions scenarios, respectively. The darker the color, the more sea-level rise.

 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The expected change in sea level under a low emissions scenario (top) and a high emissions scenario (bottom), relative to a historical baseline. Darker shades indicate a larger increase in sea level.

If there’s one takeaway from the atlas, and the terabytes of data that went into it, it’s this: Cutting emissions will make the planet significantly more habitable in our lifetimes.

“It’s empowering to be able to examine the dramatic differences between different future carbon emissions scenarios,” Mann said, “and see that we really can make a difference through our actions.”

From The Hindu: Sports

From The Hindu: National News

From BBC: Europe

From Ars Technica

From Jokes Subreddit