Within the context of the standard SIR model of pandemics, we show that the asymmetry in the peak in recorded daily cases during a pandemic can be used to infer the pandemic R-parameter. Using only daily data for symptomatic, confirmed cases, we derive a universal scaling curve that yields: (i) reff , the pandemic R-parameter; (ii) Leff, the effective latency, the average number of days an infected individual is able to infect others and (iii) α, the probability of infection per contact between infected and susceptible individuals. We validate our method using an example and then apply it to estimate these parameters for the first phase of the SARS-Cov-2/Covid-19 pandemic for several countries where there was a well separated peak in identified infected daily cases. The extension of the SIR model developed in this paper differentiates itself from earlier studies in that it provides a simple method to make an a-posteriori estimate of several useful epidemiological parameters, using only data on confirmed, identified cases. Our results are general and can be applied to any pandemic.
Background Following the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, record numbers of people became economically inactive (i.e., neither working nor looking for work, e.g., retired), or non-employed (including unemployed job seekers and economically inactive people). A possible explanation is people leaving the workforce after contracting COVID-19. We aim to investigate whether testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 is related to subsequent economic inactivity and non-employment, among people who were in employment prior to the pandemic. Methods The primary source of data are UK longitudinal population studies linked to English NHS digital data, held by the UK Longitudinal Linkage Collaboration (UK LLC). We pooled data from five studies (1970 British Cohort Study, English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, 1958 National Child Development Study, Next Steps, and Understanding Society), established long before the pandemic with between two and eight follow up surveys during the pandemic. The study population comprised people aged 25-65 years during the study period (March 2020 to March 2021) who were employed pre-pandemic. Outcomes were economic inactivity and non-employment status measured at the time of the last follow-up survey (November 2020 to March 2021, depending on study). For participants who could be linked to NHS England data (n=8,174), COVID-19 infection was indicated by a positive SARS-CoV-2 test. For sensitivity analyses, we used a self-reported measure of COVID-19 infection from participants (n=13,881) in the public use files of the five studies. Potential confounders included sociodemographic variables, pre-pandemic self-rated health and occupational class. Logistic regression models estimated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs). Results In adjusted analyses, testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 was very weakly associated with economic inactivity (OR 1.08 95%CI 0.68-1.73) and non-employment status (OR 1.09. 95%CI 0.77-1.55). In sensitivity analyses, self-reported test-confirmed COVID-19 was not associated with either economic inactivity (OR 1.01: 95%CI 0.70 to 1.44) or non-employment status (OR1.03 95%CI 0.79-1.35). Conclusions Among people employed pre-pandemic, testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 was either weakly or not associated with increased economic inactivity or exiting employment. Wide confidence intervals limit the ability to make definitive conclusions, but it appears unlikely that COVID-19 disease explains the increase in economic inactivity among working-age people.
ABSTRACT Background: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a rare but serious hyperinflammatory complication following infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The mechanisms underpinning the pathophysiology of MIS-C are poorly understood. Moreover, clinically distinguishing MIS-C from other childhood infectious and inflammatory conditions, such as Kawasaki Disease (KD) or severe bacterial and viral infections is challenging due to overlapping clinical and laboratory features. We aimed to determine a set of plasma protein biomarkers that could discriminate MIS-C from those other diseases. Methods: Seven candidate protein biomarkers for MIS-C were selected based on literature and from whole blood RNA-Sequencing data from patients with MIS-C and other diseases. Plasma concentrations of ARG1, CCL20, CD163, CORIN, CXCL9, PCSK9 and ADAMTS2 were quantified in MIS-C (n=22), KD (n=23), definite bacterial (DB; n=28) and viral (DV, n=27) disease, and healthy controls (n=8). Logistic regression models were used to determine the discriminatory ability of individual proteins and protein combinations to identify MIS-C, and association with severity of illness. Results: Plasma levels of CD163, CXCL9, and PCSK9 were significantly elevated in MIS-C with a combined AUC of 86% (95% CI: 76.8%-95.1%) for discriminating MIS-C from other childhood diseases. Lower ARG1 and CORIN plasma levels were significantly associated with severe MIS-C cases requiring oxygen, inotropes or with shock. Conclusion: Our findings demonstrate the feasibility of a host protein biomarker signature for MIS-C and may provide new insight into its pathophysiology.
Background The COVID-19 pandemic caused significant disruption to routine activity in primary care. Medication reviews are an important primary care activity to ensure safety and appropriateness of ongoing prescribing and a disruption could have significant negative implications for patient care. Aim Using routinely collected data, our aim was to i) describe the SNOMED CT codes used to report medication review activity ii) report the impact of COVID-19 on the volume and variation of medication reviews. Design and setting With the approval of NHS England, we conducted a cohort study of 20 million adult patient records in general practice, in-situ using the OpenSAFELY platform. Method For each month between April 2019 - March 2022, we report the percentage of patients with a medication review coded monthly and in the previous 12 months. These measures were broken down by regional, clinical and demographic subgroups and amongst those prescribed high risk medications. Results In April 2019, 32.3% of patients had a medication review coded in the previous 12 months. During the first COVID-19 lockdown, monthly activity substantially decreased (-21.1% April 2020), but the rate of patients with a medication review coded in the previous 12 months was not substantially impacted according to our classification (-10.5% March 2021). There was regional and ethnic variation (March 2022 - London 21.9% vs North West 33.6%; Chinese 16.8% vs British 33.0%). Following the introduction of “structured medication reviews”, the rate of structured medication review in the last 12 months reached 2.9% by March 2022, with higher percentages in high risk groups (March 2022 - care home residents 34.1%, 90+ years 13.1%, high risk medications 10.2%). The most used SNOMED CT medication review code across the study period was Medication review done - 314530002 (59.5%). Conclusion We have reported a substantial reduction in the monthly rate of medication reviews during the pandemic but rates recovered by the end of the study period.
Effect of Natural Food on Gut Microbiome and Phospholipid Spectrum of Immune Cells in COVID-19 Patients - Condition: COVID-19
Intervention: Dietary Supplement: Freeze-dried Mare Milk (Saumal)
Sponsor: Asfendiyarov Kazakh National Medical University
Not yet recruiting
Effects of Exercise Training on Patients With Long COVID-19 - Condition: Long COVID-19
Intervention: Behavioral: Exercise training
Sponsor: Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital
Recruiting
Lymph Node Aspiration to Decipher the Immune Response of Beta-variant Recombinant Protein Booster Vaccine (VidPrevtyn Beta, Sanofi) Compared to a Bivalent mRNA Vaccine (Comirnaty Original/Omicron BA.4-5, BioNTech-Pfizer) in Adults Previously Vaccinated With at Least 3 Doses of COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine. - Condition: COVID-19
Intervention: Procedure: Lymph node aspiration / Blood sampling
Sponsor: Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris
Recruiting
A Safety and Immune Response Study to Evaluate Varying Doses of an mRNA Vaccine Against Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Healthy Adults - Condition: COVID-19
Interventions: Biological: mRNA-CR-04 vaccine 10μg; Biological: mRNA-CR-04 vaccine 30μg; Biological: mRNA-CR-04 vaccine 100μg; Drug: Placebo
Sponsor: GlaxoSmithKline
Not yet recruiting
A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Blinded Study to Evaluate the Safety and Immunogenicity of Omicron Subvariant and Bivalent SARS-CoV-2 rS Vaccines in Adolescents Previously Vaccinated With mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines - Condition: COVID-19
Interventions: Biological: NVX-CoV2601 co-formulated Omicron XBB.1.5 SARS-CoV-2 rS vaccine; Biological: Prototype/XBB.1.5 Bivalent Vaccine (5 µg)
Sponsor: Novavax
Not yet recruiting
Immunoadsorption vs. Sham Treatment in Post COVID-19 Patients With Chronic Fatigue Syndrome - Conditions: Fatigue; Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome
Intervention: Procedure: Immunoadsorption vs. sham immunoadsorption
Sponsor: Hannover Medical School
Not yet recruiting
Non-ventilated Prone Positioning in the COVID-19 Population - Conditions: COVID-19; Proning; Oxygenation; Length of Stay
Interventions: Other: Proning group; Other: Control group
Sponsor: Baylor St. Luke’s Medical Center
Completed
HD-Tdcs and Pharmacological Intervention For Delirium In Critical Patients With COVID-19 - Conditions: COVID-19; Delirium; Critical Illness
Interventions: Combination Product: Active HD-tDCS; Combination Product: Sham HD-tDCS
Sponsors: Suellen Andrade; City University of New York
Completed
RECOVER-VITAL: Platform Protocol, Appendix to Measure the Effects of Paxlovid on Long COVID Symptoms - Conditions: Long COVID-19; Long COVID
Interventions: Drug: Paxlovid 25 day dosing; Drug: Paxlovid 15 day dosing; Drug: Control
Sponsor: Kanecia Obie Zimmerman
Not yet recruiting
A Study on the Safety and Immune Response of a Booster Dose of Investigational COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines in Healthy Adults - Condition: SARS-CoV-2
Interventions: Biological: CV0701 Bivalent High dose; Biological: CV0701 Bivalent Medium dose; Biological: CV0701 Bivalent Low dose; Biological: CV0601 Monovalent High dose; Biological: Control vaccine
Sponsors: GlaxoSmithKline; CureVac
Not yet recruiting
RECOVER-NEURO: Platform Protocol, Appendix_A to Measure the Effects of BrainHQ, PASC CoRE and tDCS Interventions on Long COVID Symptoms - Conditions: Long COVID; Long Covid19; Long Covid-19
Interventions: Other: BrainHQ/Active Comparator Activity; Other: BrainHQ; Other: PASC CoRE; Device: tDCS-active; Device: tDCS-sham
Sponsor: Duke University
Not yet recruiting
Directed Topical Drug Delivery for Treatment for PASC Hyposmia - Condition: Post Acute Sequelae Covid-19 Hyposmia
Interventions: Drug: Beclomethasone; Other: Placebo; Device: Microsponge
Sponsor: Duke University
Not yet recruiting
PROTECT-APT 1: Early Treatment and Post-Exposure Prophylaxis of COVID-19 - Condition: SARS-CoV-2
Interventions: Drug: Upamostat; Drug: Placebo (PO)
Sponsors: Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine; Joint Program Executive Office Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defense Enabling Biotechnologies; FHI Clinical, Inc.; RedHill Biopharma Limited
Not yet recruiting
RECOVER-NEURO: Platform Protocol to Measure the Effects of Cognitive Dysfunction Interventions on Long COVID Symptoms - Conditions: Long COVID; Long Covid19; Long Covid-19
Interventions: Other: BrainHQ/Active Comparator Activity; Other: BrainHQ; Other: PASC CoRE; Device: tDCS-active; Device: tDCS-sham
Sponsor: Duke University
Not yet recruiting
Impact of COVID-19 on Sinus Augmentation Surgery - Condition: Bone Loss
Interventions: Procedure: Sinus lift in patients with positive COVID-19 history; Procedure: Sinus lift with negative COVID-19 history
Sponsor: Cairo University
Completed
Therapeutic effects of tea polyphenol-loaded nanoparticles coated with platelet membranes on LPS-induced lung injury - Patients with ALI (acute lung injury)/ARDS (acute respiratory distress syndrome) are often septic and with poor prognosis, which leads to a high mortality rate of 25-40%. Despite the advances in medicine, there are no effective pharmacological therapies for ALI/ARDS due to the short systemic circulation and poor specificity in the lungs. To address this problem, we prepared TP-loaded nanoparticles (TP-NPs) through the emulsification-and-evaporation method, and then the platelet membrane vesicles…
Structural basis of anti-SARS-CoV-2 activity of HCQ: specific binding to N protein to disrupt its interaction with nucleic acids and LLPS - SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid (N) protein plays the essential roles in key steps of the viral life cycle, thus representing a top drug target. Functionality of N protein including liquid-liquid phase separation (LLPS) depends on its interaction with nucleic acids. Only the variants with N proteins functional in binding nucleic acids might survive and spread in evolution and indeed, the residues critical for binding nucleic acids are highly conserved. Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was shown to prevent the…
Combination of Chinese herbal medicine and conventional western medicine for coronavirus disease 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis - CONCLUSIONS: Potentially, CHM listed in this study, as an adjunctive therapy, combining with CWM is an effective and safe therapy mode for COVID-19. However, more high-quality RCTs are needed to draw more accurate conclusions.
SARS-CoV-2 main protease targeting potent fluorescent inhibitors: Repurposing thioxanthones - The coronavirus disease, COVID-19, is the major focus of the whole world due to insufficient treatment options. It has spread all around the world and is responsible for the death of numerous human beings. The future consequences for the disease survivors are still unknown. Hence, all contributions to understand the disease and effectively inhibit the effects of the disease have great importance. In this study, different thioxanthone based molecules, which are known to be fluorescent compounds,…
Identification of a small chemical as a lysosomal calcium mobilizer and characterization of its ability to inhibit autophagy and viral infection - We previously identified GAPDH as one of the cyclic adenosine diphosphoribose (cADPR)’s binding proteins and found that GAPDH participates in cADPR-mediated Ca^(2+) release from ER via ryanodine receptors (RyRs). Here we aimed to chemically synthesize and pharmacologically characterize novel cADPR analogues. Based on the simulated cADPR-GAPDH complex structure, we performed the structure-based drug screening, identified several small chemicals with high docking scores to cADPR’s binding pocket…
Discovery and evaluation of active compounds from Xuanfei Baidu formula against COVID-19 via SARS-CoV-2 Mpro - CONCLUSION: Acteoside is regarded as a representative active natural compound in XFBD to inhibit replication of SARS-CoV-2, which provides the antiviral evidence and some insights into the identification of SARS-CoV-2 M^(pro) natural inhibitors.
Neurological side effects and drug interactions of antiviral compounds against SARS-CoV-2 - CONCLUSION: Neurological side effects and drug interactions must be considered for antiviral compounds against SARS-CoV-2. Further studies are required to better evaluate their efficacy and adverse events in patients with concomitant neurological diseases. Moreover, evidence from real-world studies will complement the current knowledge.
Deuteration for Metabolic Stabilization of SARS-CoV-2 Inhibitors GC373 and Nirmatrelvir - Nirmatrelvir and GC373 inhibit the SARS-CoV-2 3CL protease and hinder viral replication in COVID-19. As nirmatrelvir in Paxlovid is oxidized by cytochrome P450 3A4, ritonavir is coadministered to block this. However, ritonavir undesirably alters the metabolism of other drugs. Hydrogens can be replaced with deuterium in nirmatrelvir and GC373 to slow oxidation. Results show that deuterium slows oxidation of nirmatrelvir adjacent to nitrogen by ∼40% and that the type of warhead can switch the site…
Structures of SARS-CoV-2 N7-methyltransferase with DOT1L and PRMT7 inhibitors provide a platform for new antivirals - The RNA N7-methyltransferase (MTase) activity of SARS-CoV-2’s nsp14 protein is essential for viral replication and is a target for the development of new antivirals. Nsp14 uses S-adenosyl methionine (SAM) as the methyl donor to cap the 5’ end of the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA and generates S-adenosyl homocysteine (SAH) as the reaction byproduct. Due to the central role of histone MTases in cancer, many SAM/SAH analogs with properties of cell permeability have recently been developed for the inhibition of…
Mega-scale desalination efficacy (Reverse Osmosis, Electrodialysis, Membrane Distillation, MED, MSF) during COVID-19: Evidence from salinity, pretreatment methods, temperature of operation - The unprecedented situation of the COVID-19 pandemic heavily polluted water bodies whereas the presence of SARS-CoV-2, even in treated wastewater in every corner of the world is reported. The main aim of the present study is to show the effectiveness and feasibility of some well-known desalination technologies which are reverse osmosis (RO), Electrodialysis (ED), Membrane Distillation (MD), multi effect distillation (MED), and multi stage flashing (MSF) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Systems’…
An RBD bispecific antibody effectively neutralizes a SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant - Potent neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) against SARS-CoV-2 are a promising therapeutic against the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. However, the continuous emergence of neutralizing antibody escape variants makes it challenging for antibody therapeutics based on monospecific nAbs. Here, we generated an IgG-like bispecific antibody (bsAb), Bi-Nab, based on a pair of human neutralizing antibodies targeting multiple and invariant sites of the spike receptor binding domain (RBD): 35B5 and 32C7. We…
Effects of official information and rumor on resource-epidemic coevolution dynamics - Epidemic-related information and resources have proven to have a significant impact on the spread of the epidemic during the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The various orientation role of information has different effects on the epidemic spreading process, which will affect the individual’ awareness of resources allocation and epidemic spreading scale. Based on this, a three-layer network is established to describe the dynamic coevolution process among information dissemination,…
Deciphering and targeting host factors to counteract SARS-CoV-2 and coronavirus infections: insights from CRISPR approaches - Severe respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and other coronaviruses depend on host factors for the process of viral infection and replication. A better understanding of the dynamic interplay between viral pathogens and host cells, as well as identifying of virus-host dependencies, offers valuable insights into disease mechanisms and informs the development of effective therapeutic strategies against viral infections. This review delves into the key host factors that facilitate or…
Antibody response to inactivated COVID-19 vaccine in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus after the booster immunization - CONCLUSIONS: Patients with T2DM showed impaired antibody responses after booster vaccination for more than 6 months. Decreased anti-BA.4/5 responses give rise to the possibility of breakthrough infections for both patients with T2DM and HCs.
Azithromycin exposure during pregnancy disturbs the fetal development and its characteristic of multi-organ toxicity - AIMS: Azithromycin is widely used in clinical practice for treating maternal infections during pregnancy. Meanwhile, azithromycin, as an “emerging pollutant”, is increasingly polluting the environment due to the rapidly increasing usage (especially after the COVID-19). Previous studies have suggested a possible teratogenic risk of prenatal azithromycin exposure (PAzE), but its effects on fetal multi-organ development are still unclear. This study aimed to explore the potential impacts of PAzE.