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630 lines
92 KiB
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<meta content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes" name="viewport"/>
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<title>14 October, 2023</title>
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<title>Daily-Dose</title><meta content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0" name="viewport"/><link href="styles/simple.css" rel="stylesheet"/><link href="../styles/simple.css" rel="stylesheet"/><style>*{overflow-x:hidden;}</style><link href="https://unpkg.com/aos@2.3.1/dist/aos.css" rel="stylesheet"/><script src="https://unpkg.com/aos@2.3.1/dist/aos.js"></script></head>
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<body>
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<h1 data-aos="fade-down" id="daily-dose">Daily-Dose</h1>
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<h1 data-aos="fade-right" data-aos-anchor-placement="top-bottom" id="contents">Contents</h1>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="#from-new-yorker">From New Yorker</a></li>
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<li><a href="#from-vox">From Vox</a></li>
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<li><a href="#from-the-hindu-sports">From The Hindu: Sports</a></li>
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<li><a href="#from-the-hindu-national-news">From The Hindu: National News</a></li>
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<li><a href="#from-bbc-europe">From BBC: Europe</a></li>
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<li><a href="#from-ars-technica">From Ars Technica</a></li>
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<li><a href="#from-jokes-subreddit">From Jokes Subreddit</a></li>
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</ul>
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<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-new-yorker">From New Yorker</h1>
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<ul>
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<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>The Luxury Office Development That Became a Horrific Migrant Shelter</strong> - In Brooklyn, hundreds of men have languished in a city-run facility, taking cold showers, eating bad food, and sleeping inches from one another. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-local-correspondents/the-luxury-office-development-that-became-a-horrific-migrant-shelter">link</a></p></li>
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<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>The Chaos Party on the Hill Keeps On Chaos-ing</strong> - Even after Hamas’s attack on Israel, House Republicans are too busy fighting with themselves to get serious about the rest of the world. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-bidens-washington/the-chaos-party-on-the-hill-keeps-on-chaos-ing">link</a></p></li>
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<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Keir Starmer, the Man Who Would Be Britain’s Next Prime Minister</strong> - At the annual conference of the Labour Party this week, Keir Starmer laid out his plans to rebuild the United Kingdom after thirteen years of Conservative misrule. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/the-man-who-would-be-britains-next-prime-minister-keir-starmer-labour">link</a></p></li>
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<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>What Was Hamas Thinking?</strong> - One of the group’s senior political leaders explains its strategy. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/what-was-hamas-thinking">link</a></p></li>
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<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>The Tangled Grief of Israel’s Anti-Occupation Activists</strong> - Israelis who advocate for Palestinian rights are simultaneously absorbing two streams of traumatic news: the brutality and extent of Hamas’s attacks and the bombardment and siege of Gaza. - <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/the-tangled-grief-of-israels-anti-occupation-activists">link</a></p></li>
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</ul>
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<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-vox">From Vox</h1>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>How the Arab world sees the Israel-Palestine conflict</strong> -
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<figure>
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<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/sIESJE70oWXV_5TGEkSfoCBFO7g=/562x0:5061x3374/1310x983/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72755074/894039384.0.jpg"/>
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<figcaption>
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An artist draws the Palestinian flag on a wall on the southern Lebanese border with Israel near Fatima’s Gate on December 17, 2017. | Ali Dia/AFP via Getty Images
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</figcaption>
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</figure>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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Protests in the Middle East show the centrality of Palestine.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="aWwPnn">
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Demonstrations of solidarity with Palestinians have broken out across the Arab world this week, as <a href="https://www.vox.com/israel">Israel</a> reels from <a href="https://www.vox.com/world-politics/23910641/israel-hamas-war-gaza-palestine-explainer">Hamas’s massive attack</a> and <a href="https://www.vox.com/2023/10/9/23910159/israel-gaza-siege-palestinians-hamas-humanitarian-crisis">Palestinians in Gaza come under bombardment</a>.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="uOCBZE">
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<a href="https://www.newarab.com/news/moroccans-protest-en-masse-against-normalisation-israel">Moroccans</a>, <a href="https://jordantimes.com/news/local/%E2%80%98your-cause-our-cause%E2%80%99-jordanians-rally-support-palestinians">Jordanians</a>, and <a href="https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContentP/1/509888/Egypt/AUC-students-march-in-solidarity-with-Palestine.aspx">Egyptians</a> have rallied in protests large and small, even as the governments of these countries have built and maintained varying degrees of diplomatic ties with Israel. And while those demonstrations may seem jarring given the widespread deaths in Israel this week, the fact that some have cheered on violence against civilians may obscure the broader political dynamics at play — both within the Middle East and within the Arab countries themselves.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="NPuXUI">
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<a href="https://www.vox.com/2023/10/7/23907323/israel-war-hamas-attack-explained-southern-israel-gaza">Hamas</a>’s violence does not reflect the desire of all, or even most, Palestinians who seek rights and freedoms. But the solidarity expressed in these rallies reflects a broader dissatisfaction with how Israel, with Western support, has subjected Palestinians to military occupation since 1967. The protests also represent a rare space for political expression in largely autocratic states where regimes severely limit such speech.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="MlQC9z">
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In the Arab world, people have been as quick to show support for Palestine as most American politicians have for Israel. On Friday, after prayers at Egypt’s al-Azhar Mosque, protesters filled the streets. As did tens of thousands of <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2023/10/13/tens-of-thousands-rally-around-the-world-against-israels-gaza-bombardment">Iraqis</a> in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square, thousands of <a href="https://jordantimes.com/news/local/jordanians-take-streets-solidarity-palestinians">Jordanians</a> protesting in the capital and in major cities, and hundreds who gathered outside a central mosque in <a href="https://dohanews.co/hundreds-stand-in-solidarity-with-palestine-at-rally-in-qatar/">Qatar</a>, along with protesters in Lebanon, Oman, Tunisia, and Yemen. Demonstrators burned Israeli flags and chanted against Israel’s military campaign.
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</p>
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<figure class="e-image">
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<img alt="In the central park in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square, Iraqi and Palestinian flags are laid out in a circle as thousands of protesters march in the square and surrounding streets. " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/37AxTcOEDzAMLzRbvw7s63UEhL0=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25001369/1722529668.jpg"/> <cite>Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/picture alliance via Getty Images</cite>
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<figcaption>
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A rally in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square in a show of support for Palestinians, on October 13, 2023.
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</figcaption>
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</figure>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="dTHxCj">
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Without understanding the full history of the conflict and the region, some American readers could dismiss everyone participating in these protests as “<a href="https://www.thecairoreview.com/essays/hollywoods-bad-arabs/">angry Arabs</a>,” a repugnant trope that has permeated Western media for a century and was heightened after 9/11. It may still be jarring to watch for many, but the forces that drive the protests go deep — and will only deepen as the latest war unfolds.
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</p>
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<h3 id="bDhHQw">
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Why Palestine galvanizes the Arab world
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</h3>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="FayaAx">
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For Palestinians and Arabs, the war did not begin on the morning of October 7 with Hamas’s attacks on Israel. Rather, for them, the war has been ongoing since 1948, when militias expelled Palestinians from their homes and killed tens of thousands in what is called <a href="https://www.vox.com/videos/2023/5/15/23723947/palestine-nakba-may-15-protests-israel">the Nakba, or catastrophe</a>. It continued with the 1967 setback — as the Six-Day War is called in Arabic — in which Israel began occupying the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem, and has carried on through waves of further conflicts and protests.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="eSW7ez">
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That support is rooted in a history of grassroots support for Palestinians and of Arab strongmen using the cause as a populist rallying point. “It’s the open wound, the festering sore, on the Arab conscience,” Mouin Rabbani, an analyst of Palestinian politics and co-editor of the web journal Jadaliyya, told me. “When you go back to the 1950s and the 1960s, the heyday of Arab nationalism, Palestine was the central Arab cause, so much so that many Arab leaders could use it, instrumentalize it, and exploit it to either help them achieve power or stay in power or improve their popularity at home.”
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</p>
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<figure class="e-image">
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<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/MPqZ7hTCM-cv6yIhX5hq2QM1DdY=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24998396/514678234.jpg"/> <cite><a class="ql-link" href="https://www.gettyimages.com/search/photographer?photographer=Bettmann" target="_blank">Bettmann</a> Archive/Getty Images</cite>
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<figcaption>
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Arab heads of state meet in 1970 at the Nile Hilton in Cairo to put an end to the civil war in Jordan between Palestinians and the government of King Hussein. From left to right: Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi, PLO chief Yasser Arafat, Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser, and King Hussein of Jordan.
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</figcaption>
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</figure>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="LIsJsC">
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The religious component is also important, with so many holy sites for Muslims within Jerusalem and throughout Israel and the occupied territories. The Arab-Israeli conflict is a political conflict over land, and it has never been primarily a religious war. (For centuries, Jews and Muslims <a href="https://www.thecairoreview.com/essays/cairo-a-memoir/">had gotten along</a> throughout the Middle East and beyond.) Yet images of Israeli security forces in mosques of significant historic meaning can indeed galvanize emotional response. And the same goes for churches in Jerusalem and Bethlehem, among other holy sites for Arab Christians.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="I0NOD2">
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Nonetheless, most Arabs, according to <a href="https://www.arabbarometer.org/survey-data/">polling</a> conducted over two decades by the Arab Barometer, would be willing to have diplomatic relations with Israel — but only after the establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel. “They’re not against coexisting with a Jewish-majority Israeli state, which is what exists now, but they will not do that until the Palestinians get their rights,” Rami Khouri, a Palestinian-Jordanian journalist and a policy fellow at the American University of Beirut, told me.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="gdHKUT">
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“The popular sentiment across the whole region supporting Palestinian rights is very strong and very deep,” Khouri told me.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="i4WNF5">
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“Most Arab citizens are bludgeoned by their own autocratic systems, and increasingly by severe economic stress,” he explained. “So the Palestine struggle is vicariously seen by many in the region as an anti-colonial struggle.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="kzqRR5">
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As long as both Arab rulers and their populations remained united in the idea that there could be no progress with Israel without significant progress in the Palestinian cause, normalization of Israel’s ties with its Middle East neighbors — long a goal of politicians there and in the US — was off the table. But in recent years, that had begun to change.
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</p>
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<h3 id="XnIsz8">
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Where Arab rulers and citizens diverge
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</h3>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="wcrALv">
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Egypt made peace with Israel in 1979, and neighboring Jordan followed in 1993. Such deals were often far from popular at home — Egyptian President Anwar Sadat was assassinated in 1981 by Islamic militants who were against the peace deal. Other Arab states held out, insisting first on the creation of a sovereign Palestinian state. US policy since President George H.W. Bush has been focused on a peace process that would lead to that outcome, and the goal as set out by Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama was two states for two peoples.
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</p>
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<figure class="e-image">
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<img alt="A Palestinian flag is held high over the heads of men making a V sign in the air with their hands." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Cs_s8dQLRb5mEFeOfnqEawfHP9s=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25001377/1723099131.jpg"/> <cite>Mohammed Hamoud/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images</cite>
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<figcaption>
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Yemeni citizens wave Palestinian flags and shout slogans against Israeli attacks during a demonstration in support of Palestinians in Sanaa, Yemen on October 13, 2023.
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</figcaption>
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</figure>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="aAtbFZ">
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When <a href="https://www.vox.com/donald-trump">President Donald Trump</a> focused on a series of normalization deals between Israel and Arab states in 2020, however, he sidelined the cause of Palestine. Saudi Arabia, which had long emphasized <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/17/opinion/an-intriguing-signal-from-the-saudi-crown-prince.html">the importance of a Palestinian state</a>, had already been quietly developing extensive <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-07/netanyahu-says-bet-on-israel-deepening-ties-with-saudi-arabia#xj4y7vzkg">business</a> and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/17/world/middleeast/israel-saudi-khashoggi-hacking-nso.html">military</a> relationships with Israel. Suddenly it seemed possible that the Palestinian cause could be sacrificed by the Arab world’s rulers.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="oA7V0G">
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But all of the countries involved in the normalization negotiations — the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco — are <a href="https://prospect.org/world/kushner-defines-america-interests-at-expense-human-rights/">autocracies</a>. And their citizens were not as eager to go along with a new Middle East. In response, the governments of these countries censored criticism of the deals in the press and stifled public protests. “Activists who were involved in pro-Palestine activism — either through local organizations or through the Gulf Coalition Against Normalization — also reported worsening online harassment, forcing many to take a step back from their activities,” Dana El Kurd, a political scientist at the University of Richmond, <a href="https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/assessing-the-abraham-accords-three-years-on/">writes</a>.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="70mM6y">
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Surveys <a href="https://www.arabbarometer.org/2022/09/how-do-mena-citizens-view-normalization-with-israel/">show how unpopular</a> those accords were. Recent polls show their <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-30/arab-states-sour-on-israel-in-blow-to-us-aim-of-saudi-peace-pact?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTY5MDY5ODM5MSwiZXhwIjoxNjkxMzAzMTkxLCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJSWEJZMzdEV0xVNjgwMSIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiIzNjYwMDJCNkU1OUM0RjY0OEE5QkU4NjAxMDhFMkM3NyJ9.2eyCabHw1rEIoTigRxJFSsMXHgJ7XlypRL9O7LSpJ8I">Arab support has dropped significantly since 2020</a>, with just 27 percent of Emiratis and 20 percent of Bahrainis in favor of the accords.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="7IqE4d">
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“If you had democracy in the Arab world, you wouldn’t have any normalization,” historian Rashid Khalidi of Columbia University told me. “Public opinion is overwhelmingly against normalization with Israel. Overwhelmingly, in every poll in every country.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="KhyDEm">
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The past few days have seen renewed calls for boycotting of Israeli-linked businesses in Bahrain and Qatar, and a resurgence of anti-normalization activism in Gulf countries, El Kurd told me. Far from being relegated to the backburner, the Palestinian cause is now front and center in the Arab world. And that is something American policymakers can’t afford to ignore.
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</p>
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<h3 id="7f1ooh">
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Where the US goes from here in the Middle East
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</h3>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="yABi3u">
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Palestine is so central to the Arab Middle East that even US military leaders historically understood the peril of ignoring the Palestinian cause.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="iBicWz">
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When David Petraeus, then the top US military commander in the Middle East, went before the Senate in 2010, he warned that the unresolved Israel-Palestinian conflict was endangering American lives.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="OTzZyh">
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“The enduring hostilities between Israel and some of its neighbors present distinct challenges to our ability to advance our interests,” he <a href="https://world.time.com/2011/10/03/why-the-pentagons-panetta-is-on-a-hiding-to-nothing-in-israel/">testified</a>. “The conflict foments anti-American sentiment, due to a perception of US favoritism for Israel. Arab anger over the Palestinian question limits the strength and depth of US partnerships with governments and peoples in the AOR [area of responsibility] and weakens the legitimacy of moderate regimes in the Arab world.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="EhAURZ">
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But <a href="https://www.vox.com/joe-biden">President Biden</a>’s <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy">policies</a> have not recognized the centrality of Palestine in the region. Instead, Biden spent last year repairing relations with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and prioritized a <a href="https://www.vox.com/world-politics/2023/8/3/23817467/biden-israel-saudi-arabia-normalization-middle-east-policy">diplomatic deal between Saudi Arabia and Israel</a> that now <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/saudi-arabia-israel-deal-tatters-hamas-palestine-war/">appears</a> dead on arrival.
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</p>
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Biden <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-palestinian-violence-surges-ahead-netanyahu-biden-meeting-2023-09-20/">told the United Nations</a> last month that his team is working “tirelessly to support a just and lasting peace between the Israelis and Palestinians — two states for two people.” But in reality, the administration’s <a href="https://www.vox.com/world/2023/2/6/23582048/blinken-biden-israel-palestine-two-state-solution">empty commitment to the two-state solution</a> has precluded the development of actual policies that would lead to peace.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="cvDJKe">
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Where does that leave a US policy focused on normalization in a region that largely cares more about Palestinians?
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="skAlYh">
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The governments of Bahrain, Morocco, and the United Arab Emirates are balancing their relations with Israel and their people’s solidarity with Palestine. The <a href="https://www.mofa.gov.bh/Default.aspx?tabid=7824&language=en-US&ItemId=22667">Bahraini foreign ministry</a> “stressed the need to immediately stop the ongoing fighting between the Palestinian Hamas movement and the Israeli forces.” Moroccan Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita, in <a href="https://diplomatie.ma/en/mfa-nasser-bourita-chairs-extraordinary-session-arab-league-council-level-foreign-ministers-developments-palestine">remarks to a session of the Arab League</a>, acknowledged the “bloody and horrifying events that erupted on Saturday, October 7, 2023” and an Arab League resolution<strong> </strong>urged restraint, warning of “catastrophic repercussions, both human and security, of the continuation and expansion of the escalation.” The <a href="https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/mediahub/news/2023/10/8/8-10-2023-uae-population">Emirati Ministry of Foreign Affairs</a> said in a statement that it “deeply mourns the loss of Israeli and Palestinian lives” and “stressed that attacks by Hamas against Israeli towns and villages near the Gaza Strip, including the firing of thousands of rockets at population centers, are a serious and grave escalation.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="qAPTnI">
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It would seem unlikely that those countries would break off or downgrade their diplomatic relations with Israel. What seems certain is that more Arab countries are not likely to normalize with Israel. The ongoing bombardment of Gaza, and <a href="https://www.vox.com/2023/10/7/23907683/israel-hamas-war-news-updates-october-2023">a ground assault if one goes ahead</a>, will undermine those prospects further.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="N60m7z">
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“In the short term, the normalization deal with Saudi Arabia is going to be delayed or face some level of obstacle,” El Kurd told me. “Because the whole point of them engaging on this topic is to say, ‘Oh, we’re going to meaningfully change Palestinian living conditions.’ I don’t think that’s within their ability to change, even marginally, at this point.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="9sx0Cu">
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|
Now, one hopes that Biden’s advisers are watching protests in Arab capitals with a new understanding of the significance of Palestine to any Middle East policy. An approach to the region that does not take into account the mass, popular support for Palestinian rights — as has been on display since Biden took office — is not suited to reckon with realities on the ground. By focusing on solidifying Israel’s ties to Arab leaders, Biden has neglected to listen to Arab people.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="qXt6Iz">
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="jgkl8k">
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</p></li>
|
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<li><strong>Poland’s democracy is on the brink. Can these elections save it?</strong> -
|
|||
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|
<figure>
|
|||
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|
<img alt="Donald Tusk, amid waving red-and-white flags, holds a microphone in one hand and makes a V-sign with the other." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/AiAqIPJ2QNavb-bFsPLLs2gJZrg=/293x0:5390x3823/1310x983/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72755040/1721948310.0.jpg"/>
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<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
Donald Tusk, the leader of Civic Platform (PO) opposition alliance, attends an election convention in Katowice, Poland, on October 12, 2023. | Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images
|
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</figcaption>
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</figure>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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|
The high stakes of Poland’s elections, explained.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="qKBnEd">
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|
WARSAW, Poland —<strong> </strong>“We have been talking that these are the most important elections since 1989, which was the first partly free elections since the fall of communism,” Jakub Kocjan, a rule of law campaigner for Akcja Demokracja, a Polish pro-democracy organization, told me from his apartment in Warsaw, less than a week before parliamentary elections that may determine the democratic future of Poland.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="GkS2Do">
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|
Behind him, a map of the European Union spans the wall. Another map, this one of Poland, hangs on the other side of the room. Kocjan sits in a desk chair, one leg extended and propped up on a bed. His foot is in a plastic boot, an old injury flaring up.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="E87fMt">
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“There is some point,” Kocjan says, “where there is no possibility to go back to democracy.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="MZhXME">
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|
For Kocjan, and for many other civic and pro-democracy activists, opposition party members, and some observers, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/poland-election-parliament-october-4bbe94b5d1a00ff9b0579702c0776a0d">this October 15 election</a> is that point.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="tla9KK">
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|
Poland’s democracy is wounded, the consequence of eight years of rule by the right-wing populist <a href="https://freedomhouse.org/report/analytical-brief/2018/hostile-takeover-how-law-and-justice-captured-polands-courts">Law and Justice Party (PiS</a>). The party has <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/07/26/why-is-polands-law-and-justice-party-trying-to-rein-in-the-judiciary/">captured state institutions</a> and <a href="https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/08/21/polish-ruling-party-raises-campaign-funds-from-state-firm-managers-while-private-business-supports-opposition/">resources</a>, dismantled <a href="https://www.vox.com/2016/6/1/11823742/poland-constitutional-crisis">the judicial system and constitutional courts</a>, <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/11/25/poland-public-television-law-and-justice-pis-mouthpiece/">consolidated control over public media</a>. The party has <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/10/world/europe/poland-election-law-and-justice-party.html">mainstreamed nationalism</a>, which has put Poland at odds with the European Union and its members, like <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/5f4d93f8-9f2b-4b2c-bbb9-d50455370fcc">Germany</a> and with other partners, most recently, <a href="https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2023/10/06/ahead-of-poland-election-support-for-ukraine-is-a-collateral-victim_6153496_4.html">Ukraine</a>.
|
|||
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="kTJaQB">
|
|||
|
|
The stakes of the election are undeniable: If PiS wins again and returns to power, it will keep Poland on this illiberal path: more <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-is-at-stake-in-polands-election/">undermining of the rule of law and the judiciary</a>; more domination over the media and the state resources; more tension with European partners. Which is why these elections feel to many like the most important vote in more than 30 years.
|
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="qbfK0h">
|
|||
|
|
“This time, many people are expecting the same — but more. Stronger, with the Hungarian path actually becoming a reality,” said Piotr Łukasiewicz, a former Polish diplomat and analyst for security and international affairs with Polityka Insight, referring to <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/9/13/17823488/hungary-democracy-authoritarianism-trump">Viktor Orbán’s</a> authoritarian consolidation in Hungary.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<div class="c-float-right">
|
|||
|
|
<aside id="0qXFba">
|
|||
|
|
<q>“There is some point where there is no possibility to go back to democracy”</q>
|
|||
|
|
</aside>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="zG4zMP">
|
|||
|
|
Yet Poland is divided, and right now the elections are a bit too close to call — and that means, despite the odds, the democratic opposition has a chance to unseat PiS. PiS’s control of the media and state resources has skewed competition, but it has not eliminated it. Broad public frustration over the high cost of living has eaten away at PiS’s support, along with the rise of a more <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/poland-far-right-elections/a-66406501">radical far-right party, the Confederation</a> that has questioned Poland’s support for Ukraine, and is appealing to <a href="https://www.zois-berlin.de/en/publications/zois-spotlight/young-poles-political-preferences-a-fresh-wind-for-the-upcoming-election">younger voters</a>, especially men.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<div class="c-float-right">
|
|||
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|
<div id="Yaw4JI">
|
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<div>
|
|||
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|
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|
|
</div>
|
|||
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</div>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="mTiZ90">
|
|||
|
|
The opposition centrist Civic Coalition, led by former Prime Minister Donald Tusk, is promising to restore Poland’s democracy and improve relations with Europe. Civic and an array of other opposition coalitions on the left, center, and center-right, <a href="https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/poland/">are pulling close in polls</a>. It is a catch-all, diverse group, but together they may be able to get PiS out of power and try to begin unraveling the illiberal regime it created.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Xwlbel">
|
|||
|
|
None of this is a guarantee. PiS seems unlikely to win an outright majority, but it very much could still garner the most votes, enough to form a government, even if they have to seek the help of the more right-wing Confederation. Even if the opposition coalitions win enough seats to potentially form a government, it is likely to be a slim edge, under a very broad tent, and reliant on cooperation from many disparate groups, which may weaken its effectiveness. No matter who emerges, this parliamentary election could make Polish politics a lot more unstable. That may dislodge PiS for now, but make unpredictable what could replace it.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="3ljsGl">
|
|||
|
|
These election results also matter for more than just Poland. They will reverberate across Europe and the North Atlantic Treaty Alliance (NATO). Poland is Europe’s front line in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/in-polands-j-town-soldiers-move-arms-to-ukraine-as-russian-spies-try-to-stop-them-1ec71497">a critical transfer point for arms</a>, and a host of more than 1 million Ukrainian refugees. The future of Poland’s democracy may influence regional stability and its future support of Ukraine; <a href="https://www.ips-journal.eu/topics/democracy-and-society/increasingly-incoherent-7027/">PiS has picked fights with Kyiv</a>, in part, to fend off the rise of the far right, and if PiS retains power, those tensions may persist, another nick in <a href="https://www.vox.com/2023/10/3/23899426/ukraine-aid-congress-government-shutdown-slovakia-fico-russia">an increasingly fragile Western coalition</a> as the war moves closer to its third year.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="lMbpqn">
|
|||
|
|
Poland is not alone in being framed as a last-chance election: Recent votes <a href="https://www.vox.com/2022/10/1/23380820/brazil-election-bolsonaro-lula-results">in Brazil</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/world-politics/2023/5/13/23718723/turkey-presidential-elections-erdogan-kilicdaroglu-runoff-opposition-2023">Turkey</a>, and soon the <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/23449021/2022-midterms-results-election-deniers-democracy">United States</a> and<a href="https://www.dw.com/en/can-indias-new-opposition-alliance-oust-modis-bjp-in-2024/a-66332302"> India</a>, all carry similar stakes. One election isn’t enough to unmake polarization or fully fix a faltering democracy, but it may be the first step to healing the break. This is Poland’s test: not just whether it can save its own democracy, but whether it can be a model for Europe and the world that it’s even possible.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="PgZ0We">
|
|||
|
|
“There are two feelings that everyone has,” Kocjan told Vox. “First is a lot of hope because we really know that we have this chance, and we cannot waste it. Because it will be too late.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="YDhjxE">
|
|||
|
|
The other, he said, was anxiety that even if the opposition won enough votes, it would be able to take control. “It is really hard to imagine,” he said, referring to PiS, “that they will simply give the power to the other party.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<h3 id="NM09vb">
|
|||
|
|
How do you win an election you’re rigged to lose?
|
|||
|
|
</h3>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="0ixrWN">
|
|||
|
|
Warsaw, Poland’s capital and biggest city, is largely an opposition town. The campaign signs at bus stops or on street signs skew toward the opposition, Koalicja Obywatelska (KO), or the Civic Coalition. On Nowy Świat, a main thoroughfare in Warsaw’s Old Town — the part of the city reconstructed after World War II to look like it did before it was destroyed — many voters criticized the direction of the country, the state of education, health care, and democracy. “I really want to change what’s been there so far,” one Warsaw resident told Vox. “My whole heart is with the Civic Coalition, with the opposition party.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="XNKRnT">
|
|||
|
|
Elsewhere, near the Wileński (Vilnius) metro station in the North Praga, an area by the <a href="https://wbdata.pl/mapy-wyborcze-warszawy-jak-glosowano-w-dzielnicach-do-sejmu-2019/">Warsaw district that had the most PiS support</a> in the last parliamentary election in 2019, not everyone seemed eager to vote for PiS again. A woman sitting at a stand selling socks said she’d had enough and would definitely not vote for <a href="https://www.gov.pl/web/premier/jaroslaw-kaczynski2">Jarosław Kaczyński</a>, the deputy prime minister and leader of the PiS party. She recently had to buy medicine. It cost too much for her, and yet, she saw plenty of people getting benefits who didn’t work for them.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/p8LfYuuntrUh6lSoLbbhDIl22xY=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25000755/IMG_7452.jpg"/> <cite>Jen Kirby/Vox</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
Civic Coalition campaign signs in Warsaw.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="weKtzy">
|
|||
|
|
It reflected some of the fatigue around PiS. The right-wing party is socially conservative, but a lot of its popularity was built on its populist economic policies, which included <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/10/poland-family-values-cash-handouts/599968/">generous welfare benefits </a>like a child subsidy. PiS oversaw a period of <a href="https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2017/10/26/explaining-the-popularity-of-polands-law-and-justice-government/">growth</a>, which they <a href="https://regions-and-cities.europa.eu/how-eu-funds-help-poland-grow">can’t take exclusive credit for,</a> but <a href="https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2019/10/01/why-is-polands-law-and-justice-party-still-so-popular/">their policies did benefit lower-income households</a>, and so PiS became the party most trusted on economic issues.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="iOSxPt">
|
|||
|
|
But the economic aftershocks of Covid-19 and the war in Ukraine have<a href="https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/economic-surveillance-eu-economies/poland/economic-forecast-poland_en#:~:text=Headline%20inflation%20is%20set%20to,6.1%25%20for%20the%20whole%20year."> raised Poland’s inflation to some of the highest in Europe</a> and that has refracted onto PiS. PiS was popular as long as Poles felt things were improving, but now with the costs rising, support for PiS is flagging.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="8vB5k3">
|
|||
|
|
That did not necessarily translate to support for the Civic Coalition in this neighborhood though; one man said he’d take the current government over the opposition, but he’d prefer to clear them all out. Another woman said she wouldn’t vote because she didn’t like anyone.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="dRLaxb">
|
|||
|
|
Some of this disillusionment is because, as high as the stakes of the election, voters are mostly dealing with the same cast of characters (if that <a href="https://apnews.com/article/election-2024-trump-biden-rematch-labor-day-c84d0905fd5d238e088618c5ed41c2e7">sounds familiar)</a>. Civic’s leader, Tusk, was the Polish prime minister from 2007 and 2014 and is the former president of the European Council — that is, a guy who’s been around for a long time. “The Civic Coalition doesn’t look like a new offer,” explained Edwin Bendyk, chairman of the Fundacja im. Stefana Batorego, a pro-democracy organization, of some of the public’s hesitation around the party. Plus, media propaganda doesn’t help. Poland’s public media has relentlessly attacked Tusk, framing him as a European bureaucrat <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/08/polands-tvs-propaganda-under-scrutiny-as-bitterly-polarised-election-looms">who is an agent of Germany</a>, but also an appeaser of <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/poland-law-and-justice-tusk-defense-plan/">Russia</a>. On Warsaw’s streets, residents repeated some of these attacks.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="GKZth7">
|
|||
|
|
Still, it all felt fairly typical for a week ahead of a major election: the motivated, the undecided, the disillusioned, the indifferent. This is the trickiness of an illiberal democracy. It isn’t a fully authoritarian state where elections are a farce. The PiS has chipped away at the rule of law and democracy but not destroyed it entirely, and the beats of the electoral system are intact. The outcome of the vote is still uncertain, though exactly how uncertain is hard to know because it’s difficult to quantify exactly how far the scales have been tipped.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="oYygd2">
|
|||
|
|
“The election will be free. It’s not fair because of the advantages that the government has. But it’s still more or less a functioning democracy,” said Adam Traczyk, director of More in Common Polska, a pro-democracy think tank.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="mTR3Pt">
|
|||
|
|
The PiS party was legitimately elected in 2015, and since then has used the levers of power to capture the state and its institutions. PiS has <a href="https://freedomhouse.org/report/analytical-brief/2018/hostile-takeover-how-law-and-justice-captured-polands-courts">subverted the constitutional and judicial system</a>. PiS painted judges <a href="https://freedomhouse.org/report/analytical-brief/2018/hostile-takeover-how-law-and-justice-captured-polands-courts">as post-communist holdovers</a>, acting against the people’s interests — in part because they had previously thwarted some of PiS’s legislation and agenda, and they, after all, PiS had a democratic mandate. Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/poland-eu-billions-tainted-constitutional-court-civil-war-recovery-funds-julia-przylebska-jaroslaw-kaczynski-andrzej-duda-ngo-civic-platform/">is stacked with PiS loyalists</a> and is now <a href="https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20211015IPR15016/poland-constitutional-tribunal-is-illegitimate-unfit-to-interpret-constitution">neutered to the point of dysfunction</a>.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt="The candidate at a lectern surrounded by onlookers carrying signs and flags in support of him." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ZVwwaPyJ1cscn-o-ydcd3u3xUa4=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25000742/1719491233.jpg"/> <cite>Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
Jaroslaw Kaczynski, the leader of Law and Justice (PiS) ruling party, gives a speech during a final convention of elections campaign in Krakow, Poland on October 11, 2023.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
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</figure>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="pz3FBr">
|
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|
|
In this, and other ways, PiS has fully captured the state, subverting it to its own political interests. This election has shown just how tilted things are. PiS has turned public media into<a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/11/25/poland-public-television-law-and-justice-pis-mouthpiece/"> state propaganda</a> that relentlessly attacks the opposition. In this campaign, PiS has raised funds from state-controlled entities and its employees. A state-controlled oil and gas company owns a press company that publishes almost 20 regional newspapers and hundreds of weeklies and online sites; they refused to publish ads for certain candidates <a href="https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/10/06/media-owned-by-polish-state-oil-firm-reject-opposition-adverts-over-left-wing-values/">because of their “left-wing” values</a>. The PiS party has approved <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/poland-approves-child-benefit-hike-election-looms-2023-08-07/">benefit</a> and <a href="https://www.polskieradio.pl/395/7789/artykul/3227976,ruling-party-leader-announces-eur-500-cash-boost-for-polish-pensioners">pension</a> hikes ahead of this campaign.
|
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</p>
|
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<div class="c-float-right">
|
|||
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<aside id="mTUAlC">
|
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<q>“The election will be free. It’s not fair because of the advantages that the government has.”</q>
|
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|
</aside>
|
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</div>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="AIu3zH">
|
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|
As a nationalistic party, PiS has also tried to hype up its base by fear-mongering around immigration, especially from the Middle East and Africa (<a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/poland-government-under-fire-cash-for-visa-scheme-scandal-election/">though PiS itself was embroiled in a cash-for-visa scheme</a>), and a meddlesome Europe that is trying to interfere in Poland. To motivate their supporters, PiS is staging a referendum it has little power to implement, with loaded questions like: Do you support “the admission of thousands of illegal immigrants from the Middle East and Africa, according to the forced relocation mechanism imposed by the European bureaucracy?”
|
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="7VnzjC">
|
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|
PiS has also tweaked electoral rules, increasing polling stations in rural areas, places most likely to benefit PiS. It is likely <a href="https://www.gmfus.org/news/how-integrity-polands-elections-undermined">PiS strongholds are already overrepresented</a> since the country hasn’t updated its parliamentary count to adjust for potential population changes, and <a href="https://www.gmfus.org/news/how-integrity-polands-elections-undermined">some estimates suggest cities</a> — where the opposition tends to do well — are underrepresented. Right now, a record number of <a href="https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/10/12/record-608000-register-to-vote-abroad-in-polands-elections/">Poles — some 600,000 — have registered to vote abroad</a>. Those will most likely favor the opposition, but they must be counted within 24 hours or they are disqualified, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/11/poles-living-abroad-register-vote-election">a rule PiS passed in January</a> that notably does not apply to the rest of Poland’s votes.
|
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|
</p>
|
|||
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|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="J5Ffen">
|
|||
|
|
These baked-in disadvantages are why the opposition faces steep odds, and it explains some of the desperation they feel. “For the opposition, this is seen pretty widely as an election that if they don’t win this one they might not be able to win another one, that the systemic advantage of the government would be so strong,” said Michal Baranowski, managing director for the German Marshall Fund East, in Warsaw.
|
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="tUvkpa">
|
|||
|
|
Tusk and the opposition have <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/01/polands-opposition-hopes-huge-rally-in-warsaw-will-swing-election">framed this election as the last chance to save Poland’s </a>democracy. Jakub (Kuba) Karyś, chair of Komitet Obrony Demokracji (Committee to Protect Democracy), said he believed if the opposition did not win these elections, they would be the last ones.
|
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="4ZY8rC">
|
|||
|
|
“Having this government for the third time would be a disaster because they will continue to close up this authoritarian system,” Bendyk said. Poland was not authoritarian yet; there was still a free press, strong civil society, and thriving local democracy which Bendyk described as the immune system in the democratic resistance. But one by one, PiS would target these. “It’s quite easy to lay down rules to demand you can be penalized for different actions,” Bendyk said. “It can be difficult to do what we are doing now.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/tIsUpvqhexRrQqoUDvvNmsmmtl4=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25000766/1711553833.jpg"/> <cite>Omar Marques/Getty Images</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
Thousands of people hold Polish and EU flags as Donald Tusk, the leader of Civic Coalition, delivers a speech during the March of a Million Hearts on October 1, 2023 in Warsaw, Poland.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="G9MnGy">
|
|||
|
|
In her office in Warsaw, Marta Lempart, leader of Strajk Kobiet, or Women’s Strike, a women’s rights and pro-abortion-rights group, was preparing to film videos to respond to different election outcomes. She has campaigned against PiS’s <a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/09/14/poland-abortion-witch-hunt-targets-women-doctors#:~:text=Polish%20law%20now%20permits%20abortion,pregnant%20women%20refused%20terminations%20demonstrate.">strict abortion laws</a>. I asked how the organization’s work would change if PiS won again. “When they close the system,” Lempart replied, “our operations will be different because I will be in jail, obviously.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<h3 id="caoVVG">
|
|||
|
|
Can the opposition actually win?
|
|||
|
|
</h3>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="7hQgeh">
|
|||
|
|
The opposition has an incentive to hype the stakes and make this election existential. But most experts and other observers Vox spoke to agreed that Poland would continue on this anti-democratic path if PiS captured power again.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="oduhgZ">
|
|||
|
|
And, right now, the opposition does have a real, if tenuous, opening.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="AUfnq4">
|
|||
|
|
The cost of living concerns of the electorate are real. Beyond that, PiS is facing a challenge from its right, the radical, anti-establishment party Konfederancja, or Confederation. The group doesn’t really fit into neat boxes; it’s a wild mess of libertarians, conspiracy theorists, anti-vaxxers, antisemites, and incels. Confederation also has a <a href="https://apnews.com/article/poland-election-far-right-party-confederation-3d29f10eb59ad880c6f64d5025277a8c">strong anti-Ukraine strain</a>, reviving historical grievances, criticizing the war and Poland’s support for it, and Warsaw’s welcome of Ukrainian refugees.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/OkaLQtxvsLV4zv_bUKg722UFYhw=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25000781/1685099823.jpg"/> <cite>Sean Gallup/Getty Images</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
Slawomir Mentzen, co-leader of the Konfederacja (Confederation) alliance of right-wing and far-right political parties, tosses fake money to supporters while speaking in a style closer to that of a standup comedian at an election campaign rally on September 16, 2023, in Szczecin, Poland.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="xAwYUC">
|
|||
|
|
Broadly, <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/poland-to-end-arms-support-for-ukraine-as-trade-dispute-escalates">Poles are still supportive of Ukraine</a> and of Warsaw’s political and humanitarian response to Russia’s invasion, and Russia is too big of a security threat for a real pro-Russia party to thrive. But Confederation’s anti-establishment message is peeling off some disillusioned voters, especially from younger demographics. That has freaked out PiS enough <a href="https://www.vox.com/2023/10/3/23899426/ukraine-aid-congress-government-shutdown-slovakia-fico-russia">that it has hardened its stance on Ukraine</a>, an uncomfortable development for the Western alliance given Poland’s position on NATO’s eastern flank.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="rf4uSO">
|
|||
|
|
Together, though, PiS looks somewhat vulnerable. So the pro-democracy opposition is mobilizing. In early October, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/thousands-gather-warsaw-opposition-rally-ahead-tight-election-2023-10-01/">hundreds of thousands of opposition supporters attended a massive rally in Warsaw</a>. Karyś, of the Committee to Protect Democracy, said his group has registered more than 27,000 volunteers so far to observe the polls.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="JkPj4Z">
|
|||
|
|
The democratic opposition — both parties running and pro-democracy activists and civil society leaders — is a diverse group. They are unified to dislodge PiS, which gives the vote a bit of the feel of the 2020 US election: anti-Trump more than pro-Biden; anti-PiS more than pro-Tusk and pro-Civic. Kocjan, the rule of law campaigner, said people are trying to vote strategically; that is, if they live in a more conservative district, voting for the opposition party most likely to win, not necessarily the one they favor the most.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/dsSFJDRqayERH_c5UeU97xtirc0=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25000770/1258701754.jpg"/> <cite>Attila Husejnow/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
A woman in a “Vote” T-shirt with a red lightning bolt painted on her face — a symbol of Women’s Strike — at a demonstration. Under the slogan “Not One More!” (Ani Jednej Wiecej!), thousands of Poles took to the streets in Warsaw and in numerous cities across the country to protest once again the tightened abortion law after the death of another pregnant woman in a Polish hospital.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="WE2x2k">
|
|||
|
|
In 2020, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/10/24/21531982/poland-abortion-rights-protests">PiS oversaw a near-total ban on legal abortion</a>, one of the most extreme in Europe. Lempart, leader of Strajk Kobiet, is trying to motivate voters on the abortion issue, especially younger voters, ages 18 to 25, to convince them they can get enough pro-abortion MPs elected, they can dismantle these restrictions.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="1h9PS0">
|
|||
|
|
She noted that many young voters are disillusioned with the current political establishment — <a href="https://notesfrompoland.com/2023/07/25/one-third-of-young-poles-plan-to-vote-for-far-right-with-80-frustrated-at-political-situation/">something backed up by surveys</a> — but the opposition wasn’t offering a positive message, just criticizing young people, telling them to vote and save the country or else.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="HT5RWQ">
|
|||
|
|
Her organization’s approach was to give voters a clear deliverable. “We’re saying ‘it’s absolutely okay if you don’t feel anything, when you see the flag, when you hear the anthem, if you don’t care what happens, [if] the call to save the country just doesn’t appeal to you,” she said. But the Parliament needs 50 percent plus one to change the abortion laws. “If you go and vote for abortion, believe that then we can deliver,” Lempart said.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<h3 id="ASzrTl">
|
|||
|
|
Can Poland reverse its illiberal path?
|
|||
|
|
</h3>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="fkmpKo">
|
|||
|
|
The radical far-right Confederation may end up the decider on Poland’s democratic future.<strong> </strong>PiS is still likely to win the most seats in parliament, though it seems unlikely to secure an outright majority. It may have to look to its rivals in the Confederation. The Confederation hates PiS because of its welfare spending; going into government with them would probably destroy their anti-establishment credentials. Still, PiS might just need to persuade a few opportunistic politicians to switch sides.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="ULiYwG">
|
|||
|
|
And even if the opposition can pull it out, the path forward is likely turbulent and tricky. One wild and risky possibility is the far-right Confederation tolerating a minority government led by the Civic Coalition. And no matter what, PiS is unlikely to go quietly. Their allies are in the courts, including the ones that deal with elections. Their allies control the business interests. Their allies control the messages on public media.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="Bsy71C">
|
|||
|
|
“If the opposition really manages to win or has enough votes to form a coalition, it’s not that on the 16th of October, we will all be sitting and singing Kumbaya and everything will be fine,” said Maria Skóra, a researcher at the Institute for European Politics (IEP), in Berlin. “The thing is that Law and Justice will not give up their powers too easily.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="HsFy44">
|
|||
|
|
Which is why many activists, experts, and observers in Warsaw seemed to think the most likely outcome of this election is one of instability: a fragile, messy government that might not last very long. That instability still offers the chance of evicting PiS from some of the centers of power, but the consequences of that are just as uncertain. It might make it far more difficult to undertake any meaningful reforms, and the opposition in disarray could be replaced by an emboldened PiS or a radical right, maybe in snap elections next year.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="UJIyPa">
|
|||
|
|
Even if the opposition does take control, it is a prospect — but not a guarantee — of change. “We also realize that the democratic opposition parties are not angels,” Bendyk said. But, he added, “At least open the window for opportunity for changes.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="KkyeC2">
|
|||
|
|
What that window looks like is hard to say because reversing an illiberal democracy hasn’t really been done. “You don’t have an example of a country where you had an illiberal regime, established over years, and then rolled back by a democratic, liberal government,” said Piotr Buras, head of the Warsaw office for the European Council on Foreign Relations. Because Poland isn’t a full-on authoritarian system, you can’t just start from scratch. If the opposition gets into power, it will be because it won an election, after all. “An illiberal regime, this is a different animal,” he added.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="aPoB3E">
|
|||
|
|
Experts and activists suggested the opposition might find some tasks easier than others: replacing people at the public media station, or disentangling some of the state-controlled businesses from the state. But for the judiciary and the courts, even experts are perplexed by some of the changes there. How to unravel that and restore rule of law will be a complicated, and maybe even doomed process. On top of that, Poland’s PiS-aligned president, Andrzej Duda, will be in power until at least 2025. He can veto legislation, which a divided Parliament probably won’t have the votes to override.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<div class="c-float-right">
|
|||
|
|
<aside id="2tw9Xe">
|
|||
|
|
<q>“You don’t have an example of a country where you had an illiberal regime, established over years, and then rolled back by a democratic, liberal government”</q>
|
|||
|
|
</aside>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="FusfM0">
|
|||
|
|
“It’s the question,” Tracyzk said. “Do you want to do it quickly? Or create possibly even more chaos risking that every four years there will be chaos once again? Or do you want to try to do it kind of in a more democratic stable manner, knowing that it will take more time, knowing that you will not be able to fix all the things that quickly?”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<h3 id="BSo7E3">
|
|||
|
|
The very high stakes of Poland’s election — for the country and the world
|
|||
|
|
</h3>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="rU6Mfo">
|
|||
|
|
Yet Poland, if it has the chance, has to try. These elections are critical for global democracy but also for Europe and the rest of the world. The PiS party has challenged Europe <a href="https://multimedia.europarl.europa.eu/de/video/the-rule-of-law-crisis-in-poland-and-the-primacy-of-eu-law-continuation-of-the-debate_I212619">and the supremacy of its rule of law</a>, a perpetual and persistent problem from the bloc. PiS is picking fights with its neighbors, like Germany, at a time when Europe is trying to figure out its own future — on foreign policy, governance, and security. Tusk, a former European official, will almost certainly reset Polish relations with the EU, although he’ll be dealing with a long list at home.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="tIcFyZ">
|
|||
|
|
But the war in Ukraine looms over all of it. After Russia’s full-scale invasion, Poland emerged as Ukraine’s ironclad supporter. Poland used this position to rally other EU countries, putting pressure on its partners, l<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/23/poland-ready-to-send-tanks-to-ukraine-without-german-consent">ike Germany, to deliver tanks</a>. It won some goodwill, including from the EU, and some saw it as a sign that Warsaw might become the new power center in Europe and of NATO.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="lMJkfR">
|
|||
|
|
That has since shifted. The Polish public remains broadly supportive of Ukraine and of hosting Ukrainian refugees, but inflation and i<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/13/world/europe/poland-elections-ukraine.html">nflammatory rhetoric, especially by the Confederation</a>, has eroded some of that enthusiasm. As a result, the PiS party has turned Ukraine into an electoral issue, most notably <a href="https://apnews.com/article/poland-ukraine-grain-russia-war-f14ca84b946b42821688d0d175cfa9e3">with its dispute over Ukrainian grain. </a>
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="vdAvtA">
|
|||
|
|
Poland has said the transit of Ukranian grain into Europe is hurting undermining Polish farmers (who also happen to be an important voting bloc for PiS), and so it (<a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/16/europe/ukraine-grain-imports-pland-slovakia-hungary-intl/index.html">along with some others</a>) would defy a EU rule and continue banning Ukrainian grain imports. The spat culminated with Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66873495">saying last month that Poland was no longer giving weapons to Ukraine</a>. This was a bit misleading; Poland continues to be a transfer point for international aid and weapons, but Poland itself is not sending more weapons, mostly because it has already given everything it has to give. But the damage was done.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="kXOYIg">
|
|||
|
|
“How can this Polish government go back and become an advocate again, and actually name and shame our bigger allies — Europeans, Americans, as well, to some extent — on sending more, or sending more advanced weapons?” Baranowski, of GMF, said. “We, as a country, just gave away a huge chunk of credibility that could have been used and was used successfully.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt=" " src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/5zS5hpsWwQYBv9M15GE3M8wvlz4=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25000785/1620669204.jpg"/> <cite>Janek Skarzynski/AFP via Getty Images</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is seen on a screen as people gather to mark Ukraine’s Independence Day while a demonstrator holds up a placard reading “Stop Russia” and showing an image of Russian President Vladimir Putin, at Zamkowy Square in Warsaw, Poland, on August 24, 2023.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="gDU9Mr">
|
|||
|
|
As experts said, Ukraine is not about to break with the Western alliance; it still sees Russia as too big of a threat and the war as critical to its security. But as the war <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682">enters something of a standstill</a>, Poland’s domestic politics could spill over and further strain the Western alliance, which is already under pressure, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/06/us/politics/ukraine-aid-congress.html">especially as the United States now struggles to approve Ukraine aid</a>. And if the PiS party must work with the Confederation to stay in power, Poland’s tensions with Ukraine may only grow deeper.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="YaXnF3">
|
|||
|
|
Although the PiS party has sold itself as the real protectors of Poland, if opposition wins they will continue support for Ukraine, and potentially offer a little relations reset. Beyond that, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/07/12/remarks-by-president-biden-on-supporting-ukraine-defending-democratic-values-and-taking-action-to-address-global-challenges-vilnius-lithuania/">so much of the rhetoric around Ukraine support revolves around defending democracy </a>— even as some of its supporters, like Poland, are not exactly living up to those values.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="W7QfGh">
|
|||
|
|
With Sunday’s election, Poland has the chance to rebuild its democracy, as it also defends the one next door. “Poland is the final buffer between the West and the East,” said Karyś. “It’s incredibly important for Europe and the world for it to be there.”
|
|||
|
|
</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><strong>What happens if you force companies to reveal how much they contribute to climate change?</strong> -
|
|||
|
|
<figure>
|
|||
|
|
<img alt="Activists hold a giant banner that says ‘’Biden-Newsom: End Fossil Fuels’’ on the Tower Bridge as hundreds of climate change activists gathered at Old Sacramento Waterfront to protest global climate change and fossil fuels, on September 17 in Sacramento, California." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/TW0hsWJVNcvPo_eUaZp4Z7ns7XQ=/0x0:4864x3648/1310x983/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72754981/GettyImages_1672560307.0.jpeg"/>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
California this week passed two laws that would force big businesses to report their contributions to climate change and the impacts of warming on their bottom lines. | Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
California wants to find out.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="gEGbuy">
|
|||
|
|
If you order a company to reveal how much it pollutes, would it clean up its act? And if a business has to chalk out all the ways extreme weather and rising sea levels hurt its bottom line, will that force it to better prepare?
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="448Fqv">
|
|||
|
|
California certainly thinks so. The Golden State recently <a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/2023/10/07/governor-newsom-issues-legislative-update-10-7-23/">enacted two climate laws</a>. One would make billion-dollar businesses in the state — the likes of <a href="https://www.vox.com/apple">Apple</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/google">Google</a>, Walmart, and Chevron, <a href="https://www.thefashionlaw.com/a-snapshot-of-california-climate-legislation-post/">more than 5,300 companies in total</a> — disclose their greenhouse gas emissions publicly. The second requires companies making more than $500 million a year, applying to more than 10,000 companies, to report their climate-related financial risks.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="cQcIij">
|
|||
|
|
To limit <a href="https://www.vox.com/climate">climate change</a>, simply getting a handle on where heat-trapping gasses are coming from is a critical step. And figuring out how rising average temperatures will hurt businesses could make the cost-benefit case for investing in more action on climate change right now.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="stpUZH">
|
|||
|
|
That’s why <a href="https://www.energy.gov/scep/slsc/state-and-local-energy-benchmarking-and-disclosure-policy">several states</a>, the <a href="https://www.vox.com/23058987/sec-climate-finance-disclosure">US federal government</a>, and <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-31/eu-companies-get-new-esg-rules-aimed-at-addressing-climate-risks?embedded-checkout=true">some other countries</a> have been exploring forms of climate change disclosure rules, reporting their tallies to independent monitoring groups. And many companies have <a href="https://www.globenewswire.com/en/news-release/2022/11/16/2557344/0/en/New-G-A-Institute-Research-Shows-Sustainability-Reporting-by-Largest-U-S-Public-Companies-Reached-All-Time-Highs-in-2021.html">already started publishing their numbers</a>.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="OPXplC">
|
|||
|
|
“Already today, issuers are making climate risk disclosures, and investors are making investment decisions based on those disclosures,” Gary Gensler, the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, said at a <a href="https://www.sec.gov/news/speech/gensler-remarks-fsoc-climate-072823">Treasury Department meeting in July</a>. “Further, investors representing tens of trillions of dollars in assets are making decisions relying on those disclosures.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="J3pNH6">
|
|||
|
|
However, California’s latest laws go further than most other climate reporting requirements on the books in the US. In particular, the new greenhouse gas accounting law requires big companies to measure their <a href="https://www.epa.gov/climateleadership/scope-3-inventory-guidance">scope 3 greenhouse gas emissions</a>. These are the indirect emissions from an organization, including things like the carbon dioxide output from employees commuting to work, pollution from shipping, or the energy needed to power their products. A company’s scope 3 emissions can be more than <a href="https://www.cdp.net/en/research/global-reports/transparency-to-transformation">11 times greater</a> than its direct emissions.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<figure class="e-image">
|
|||
|
|
<img alt="California Governor Gavin Newsom speaks at the UN Climate Ambition Summit on the sidelines of the 78th United Nations General Assembly at UN headquarters in New York City on September 20, 2023." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/8PeoSlvSebmQz2fdyIIN8lwWKEI=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25001258/GettyImages_1677593482.jpeg"/> <cite>Bryan R. Smith/AFP via Getty Images</cite>
|
|||
|
|
<figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed two new climate bills this week but voiced concerns about their costs to businesses.
|
|||
|
|
</figcaption>
|
|||
|
|
</figure>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="4uWO33">
|
|||
|
|
By including this category, it expands the spotlight beyond major manufacturers and <a href="https://www.vox.com/fossil-fuels">fossil fuel companies</a> to envelop businesses that don’t often face scrutiny for their impact on the climate. Tech companies, financial firms, and retailers may not have smokestacks coming out of their data centers, office towers, and stores, but it can still take a lot of greenhouse gasses to keep their supply chains moving.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="OJvnMa">
|
|||
|
|
“It has changed the conversation for people who are sitting on the fence who are not the Exxons or the Chevrons — people who haven’t been pressured as much — to start thinking about these issues,” said <a href="https://business.columbia.edu/faculty/people/shivaram-rajgopal">Shivaram Rajgopal</a>, a professor of accounting and auditing at the Columbia Business School.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="TcasL2">
|
|||
|
|
For companies whose raw materials, warehouses, and operations sprawl across the world, calculating these numbers can quickly turn into an expensive ordeal. Accounting for the business impact of rising average temperatures is also tricky and costly since it requires an accurate estimate of where things stand and then simulating the knock-on effects of different climate change scenarios, like higher insurance premiums due to wildfire risk. In <a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/SB-261-Signing.pdf">signing statements</a> for <a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/SB-253-Signing.pdf">both bills</a>, California Gov. Gavin Newsom expressed concern about the financial pain the new rules could inflict and directed state regulators to monitor compliance costs.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="4d2dDJ">
|
|||
|
|
But some major corporations have backed these measures, including <a href="https://www.ceres.org/sites/default/files/Asm%20Approps%20Major%20Companies%20and%20Institutions%20Support%20SB%20253.pdf">REI, Adobe, Microsoft, and IKEA</a>, companies that are already voluntarily reporting their emissions and climate risks. In an August letter, these companies said California’s new rules will help spur laggards to act and “ensure economy-wide accountability and action.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="5KwWl8">
|
|||
|
|
The question, then, is how big an impact this will have.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="WX4DI0">
|
|||
|
|
California is one state out of 50, but it is the largest one and has the biggest economy so its rules can change the game across the country and the world. However, policies are fragmented across the states. While California is pushing businesses to do more on climate change, states like <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-05/wall-street-s-shift-south-runs-into-texas-florida-culture-wars#xj4y7vzkg">Texas and Florida</a> are penalizing companies that are cutting back on investments in fossil fuels.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="3DCGDr">
|
|||
|
|
The new rules in California may also be too hasty, even for California. <a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/SB-253-Signing.pdf">Gov. Newsom wrote</a> that “the implementation deadlines in this [emissions disclosure] bill are likely infeasible, and the reporting protocol specified could result in inconsistent reporting across businesses subject to the measure.” The legislature and state regulators will therefore have to go back to revise their timelines and hammer out more details.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="FL3F1y">
|
|||
|
|
The <a href="https://www.npr.org/2023/10/12/1205068747/climate-change-emissions-companies-disclosure-sec-california">SEC is now proposing to harmonize</a> emissions reporting and risk disclosure rules across the country. But it has triggered a <a href="https://www.vox.com/23058987/sec-climate-finance-disclosure">vast right-wing campaign</a> against this initiative, with some business groups arguing that making companies publish their climate data violates the First Amendment. “Groups like the US Chamber of Commerce, the National Association of Manufacturers, Americans for Prosperity, and the Competitive Enterprise Institute have flooded the SEC with comments that argue company free speech would be violated,” wrote Vox’s Rebecca Leber.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<div id="L6BXVJ">
|
|||
|
|
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" dir="ltr" lang="en">
|
|||
|
|
I recently co-lead a letter with <a href="https://twitter.com/RepAdamSchiff?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw"><span class="citation" data-cites="RepAdamSchiff">@RepAdamSchiff</span></a> and 24 members of the California Delegation urging <a href="https://twitter.com/GaryGensler?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw"><span class="citation" data-cites="GaryGensler">@GaryGensler</span></a> to ensure that large corporations must keep informing investors and the public about their environmental impact. <br/><br/>Learn more: <a href="https://t.co/qz63BHINZs">https://t.co/qz63BHINZs</a>
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
— Rep. Juan Vargas (<span class="citation" data-cites="RepJuanVargas">@RepJuanVargas</span>) <a href="https://twitter.com/RepJuanVargas/status/1712539608347717781?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 12, 2023</a>
|
|||
|
|
</blockquote></div></li>
|
|||
|
|
</ul>
|
|||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="PQwsDO">
|
|||
|
|
The <a href="https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/23561441/federal-reserve-jerome-powell-climate-change-citigroup-jpmorgan">US Federal Reserve has also asked major banks</a> to launch an experiment on how they will cope with climate change-related shocks to the economy, as well as examine what will happen to their portfolios as more businesses switch away from fossil fuels toward cleaner energy.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="dugm4K">
|
|||
|
|
Meanwhile, the <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-31/eu-companies-get-new-esg-rules-aimed-at-addressing-climate-risks">European Union has implemented its own climate reporting rules</a> for big businesses. The <a href="https://www.vox.com/european-union">EU</a>’s rules go even further, requiring companies to also publish their impacts on communities, biodiversity, and human rights. And it applies to all but the tiniest of companies, so upward of 50,000 businesses could be subject to the <a href="https://www.thecorporategovernanceinstitute.com/insights/news-analysis/eus-new-esg-checklist-explained/">EU’s disclosure checklist</a>.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="w7N4qn">
|
|||
|
|
So, even if disclosure regulations in the US get watered down or blocked in the courts, companies that do business in multiple countries will likely face some kind of reporting requirement; it would behoove them to start tallying up their emissions and risks.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="4cnOV9">
|
|||
|
|
And while monitoring and disclosure is an important fist step for addressing climate change, it’s only a step. A paper published in the journal <a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.add6815"><em>Science</em></a><em> </em>in August noted that disclosure rules could help policymakers craft further, more targeted regulations that lead to direct emissions reductions. Exactly how much of an impact this will have on investments and climate pollution is not clear. Environmental activists argue that these measures need further backing with regulations that ratchet down fossil fuel production and consumption overall.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom" id="bLcCOT">
|
|||
|
|
The SEC is expected to <a href="https://www.npr.org/2023/10/12/1205068747/climate-change-emissions-companies-disclosure-sec-california">publish its climate disclosure rules</a> in the coming months. It’s not certain how strict the final rules will be, but it shows that regulators are paying attention, which in turn could change how everyone does business. And California will be an important laboratory for how these rules play out. According to Newsom, the regulations demonstrate “California’s continued leadership with bold responses to the climate crisis, turning information transparency into climate action.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-the-hindu-sports">From The Hindu: Sports</h1>
|
|||
|
|
<ul>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>A hard-fought win against a formidable Australian outfit will enthuse India</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Well-rounded India has the edge in battle of equals</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Shamrock, Aldgate, Champions Way, Knight In Hooves, Blue God and Bruce Almighty excel</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Baby Bazooka and Northern Lights catch the eye</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>India-Pak WC clash: Man arrested for posing as GCA official, cheating ticket seeker of ₹2.68 lakh</strong> - Mr. Kandoria contacted Shah on the mobile number mentioned on the social media platform and sought 41 tickets for friends and kin</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
</ul>
|
|||
|
|
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-the-hindu-national-news">From The Hindu: National News</h1>
|
|||
|
|
<ul>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Woman ends life in Arasikere, complaint filed against her husband, relatives</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>City gears up for Dasara, a slew of events to be inaugurated on Sunday</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Sitharaman pitches for strong, quota-based and adequately resourced IMF</strong> - The 16th General Review of Quotas is expected to provide greater say to developing economies in the International Monetary Fund</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Bronze medal winner in Asian Games felicitated in Ballari</strong> -</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Patients seek Centre’s intervention for shorter regimen in India’s TB control programme</strong> - The BPaL regimen uses only three drugs over 26 weeks, in contrast to up to 5,000 tablets for as many as 21 months in the conventional treatment for DR-TB</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
</ul>
|
|||
|
|
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-bbc-europe">From BBC: Europe</h1>
|
|||
|
|
<ul>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>France raises security level after school knife attack</strong> - France is put on its highest counter-terrorism alert, following the death of a teacher stabbed at a high school.</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Poland election: Poles prepare to vote as rivals end acrimonious campaign</strong> - Poland elects a new parliament on Sunday with the right-wing ruling party seeking a third term.</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Germany migrants: Seven dead after vehicle crashes in Bavaria</strong> - Authorities said the driver of a “suspected smuggling vehicle” attempted to evade police before losing control.</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Putin denies Russia behind Finland gas pipeline damage</strong> - Finnish officials say they cannot rule out a state actor being responsible for the rupture.</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>French police break up pro-Palestinian demo after ban</strong> - Tear gas is used after pro-Palestinian rallies are banned as a possible threat to public order.</p></li>
|
|||
|
|
</ul>
|
|||
|
|
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-ars-technica">From Ars Technica</h1>
|
|||
|
|
<ul>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Plant-based cheese may be getting more appetizing</strong> - Can we skip the dairy and still get a cheese that doesn’t taste like plants? - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1976155">link</a></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>This exoplanet might literally be the most metal planet out there</strong> - It’s likely that something stripped the outer layers off a once-rocky exoplanet. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1976025">link</a></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>CEO Bobby Kotick will leave Activision Blizzard on January 1, 2024</strong> - Schreier: Kotick will depart after 33 years, employees are “very excited.” - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1976154">link</a></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Hydro dams are struggling to handle the world’s intensifying weather</strong> - Climate change is robbing some hydro dams of water while oversupplying others. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1976129">link</a></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Raw milk outbreak sickens 14 in Utah—a state with loose laws, bad track record</strong> - The people sickened range in age from 2 to 73. - <a href="https://arstechnica.com/?p=1976132">link</a></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
</ul>
|
|||
|
|
<h1 data-aos="fade-right" id="from-jokes-subreddit">From Jokes Subreddit</h1>
|
|||
|
|
<ul>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>A 95 year old man and his 94 year old wife see a lawyer about a divorce.</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
|
|||
|
|
<div class="md">
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
The lawyer asks them when they got married.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
“I was 19” says the man.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
“That means you’ve been married for 75 years at least” the lawyer points out
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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“Yes. And all of it misery” says the woman.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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“Really? When did you start to regret the marriage?”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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“Almost immediately,” says the man. “I hated her after about two years, and every year it gets worse. Everything about her is obnoxious and irritating.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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“Oh lord,” says the woman, “I lasted three years but after that tolerating him in any way has been a huge problem. He has awful habits and treats me like trash.”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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The lawyer thinks for a moment.
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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“Well I can help you to get divorced, but why did you wait so long to apply for one if you’ve hated each other the whole time?”
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</p>
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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She says: “We were waiting for the children to die”
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</p>
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</div>
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<!-- SC_ON -->
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/slbain9000"> /u/slbain9000 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1777dpc/a_95_year_old_man_and_his_94_year_old_wife_see_a/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1777dpc/a_95_year_old_man_and_his_94_year_old_wife_see_a/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
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<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>A poor farmer has two sons; a smart one and a dumb one.</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
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<div class="md">
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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One day he goes to his smart son and he tell him “Bring this duck to the market and sell it for 5 dollars. If you sell for any extra go ahead and take that to the whorehouse on your way back home.”
|
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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So the son goes to the market with the duck, manages to sell it for 7 dollars and promptly goes to the whorehouse and spends the extra 2 dollars he had earned and gets home by the end of the day.
|
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</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
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About a month later the farmer needs a few extra bucks so he decides to use the same plan with his sons. For some reason this time he can’t find his smart son so he goes to the dumb son and says again “take this duck to the market and sell it for 5 dollars. Any extra you earn you can go spend at the whorehouse on the way home.”
|
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|
</p>
|
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
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|
The dumb son leaves carrying the duck but after getting a couple miles out he gets horny and forgets what he was sent to do so he turns the truck straight to the whorehouse. Upon arrival the lady running the place asks him how he expects to pay and he says “well I got this duck.” The lady thinks it over and decides there’s no harm in getting paid a duck for a couple minutes. So she takes him into the next room and they have wild amazing sex. After they finish she says to him “Wow that was fantastic. Can we please do this again? I’ll even let you keep the duck.” And he happily agrees.
|
|||
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|
</p>
|
|||
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<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
Now tired he goes to drive back home. On the drive the duck gets spooked and flies out the window, directly into the path of a semi. The semi driver immediately pulls over and so does the son. The driver says “Oh my god I’m so sorry I killed your duck, it all happened in a flash. Please take 15 dollars for your troubles.” And the son happily agrees and goes on his way.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
Once he arrives home his father asks him how much money he got. The son proudly empties his pocket and shows his father the 15 big ones. The farmer is stunned and asks him exactly what happened that day. The son says “Well, I got a fuck for a duck, a duck for a fuck, and 15 bucks for a fucked up duck!”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
|
<!-- SC_ON -->
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/Buddy2269"> /u/Buddy2269 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1779sv3/a_poor_farmer_has_two_sons_a_smart_one_and_a_dumb/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/1779sv3/a_poor_farmer_has_two_sons_a_smart_one_and_a_dumb/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>A man is shocked to find his buddy wears a bra. He asks “How long have you been wearing that?”</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
|
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|
|
<div class="md">
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
The friend replies, “Ever since my wife found it in the glove compartment.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
|
<!-- SC_ON -->
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/Major_Independence82"> /u/Major_Independence82 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/177fbmy/a_man_is_shocked_to_find_his_buddy_wears_a_bra_he/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/177fbmy/a_man_is_shocked_to_find_his_buddy_wears_a_bra_he/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>a man buys a parrot</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
|
|||
|
|
<div class="md">
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
A man buys a parrot. The bird is beautiful, but swears in the most foul manner all day long.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
The man tries everything to silence the parrot: he covers the cage, he turns on loud music, he threatens to hit the parrot… but it’s all of no use.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
After a few days of incessant ranting, he becomes so unnerved that he grabs the parrot and puts it in the freezer. The parrot is rioting around at first, but then suddenly everything in the freezer becomes dead quiet.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
The man feels guilty and is afraid that the parrot may have died of fear. So he opens the chest again. The parrot climbs out, climbs up the man’s arm, sits on the shoulder and says, “I would like to apologize profusely for my unbecoming behavior. I assure you that this will never happen again.”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
The man is completely flabbergasted, but before he can say anything himself, the parrot clears his throat and says: “If you allow me to ask… what did the chicken do?”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
|
<!-- SC_ON -->
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/bohogirl1"> /u/bohogirl1 </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/177bp8z/a_man_buys_a_parrot/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/177bp8z/a_man_buys_a_parrot/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
<li><p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"><strong>Top O’ The Mornin’</strong> - <!-- SC_OFF --></p>
|
|||
|
|
<div class="md">
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
Father Flanahan is having a rough morning in the confessional booth. During a brief pause in a seemingly endless parade of sinners, he flags down Dooley the church janitor, says “Be a good lad, and cover far me whoile I take me eleven o’ clock dump!”and shoves him into the booth in his place.
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
Dooley isn’t in there half a minute when here comes Mrs. Conroy, the local sexpot. She sits down and wails: " Forgive me, father, I just can’t stop suckin’ cock! I blow me hoosband every marnin’ bafore he leaves fer work. Then I spend the rest ‘o the day blowin’ the milkman, the <em>mail</em>man, the Maytag <em>repair</em> man, and the naybor’s dog!! Can ya grant a poor sinner absolution??"
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
Dooley, at a loss, stamners “One moment, my child”, then leans out and desperately flags down a passing altar boy. “Patrick , me boy,” he whispers, “what does Father Flanahan usually give fer blowjobs?!”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom">
|
|||
|
|
Patrick eyes Dooley with suspicion, and intones: “Well,he usually gives ya a Snickers bar and a pat on the head afterwards–but fer you, Dooley it’ll be five bucks up front!!”
|
|||
|
|
</p>
|
|||
|
|
</div>
|
|||
|
|
<!-- SC_ON -->
|
|||
|
|
<p data-aos="fade-left" data-aos-anchor-placement="bottom-bottom"> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/DonkeyPunchDelicious"> /u/DonkeyPunchDelicious </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/177jis5/top_o_the_mornin/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/Jokes/comments/177jis5/top_o_the_mornin/">[comments]</a></span></p></li>
|
|||
|
|
</ul>
|
|||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
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